Stock Analysis

This Broker Just Slashed Their GMM Pfaudler Limited (NSE:GMMPFAUDLR) Earnings Forecasts

NSEI:GMMPFAUDLR
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One thing we could say about the covering analyst on GMM Pfaudler Limited (NSE:GMMPFAUDLR) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analyst seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

Following the downgrade, the most recent consensus for GMM Pfaudler from its solo analyst is for revenues of ₹37b in 2025 which, if met, would be a credible 3.8% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to ascend 15% to ₹50.30. Previously, the analyst had been modelling revenues of ₹41b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹64.10 in 2025. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a pretty serious decline to earnings per share numbers as well.

See our latest analysis for GMM Pfaudler

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NSEI:GMMPFAUDLR Earnings and Revenue Growth February 7th 2024

The consensus price target fell 13% to ₹1,803, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the GMM Pfaudler's past performance and to peers in the same industry. We would highlight that GMM Pfaudler's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 3.1% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 43% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 12% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that GMM Pfaudler is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analyst cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately the analyst also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that GMM Pfaudler's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to next year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of GMM Pfaudler.

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have analyst estimates for GMM Pfaudler going out as far as 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether GMM Pfaudler is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.