Is Gillanders Arbuthnot (NSE:GILLANDERS) A Risky Investment?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
November 18, 2021
NSEI:GILLANDERS
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Gillanders Arbuthnot and Company Limited (NSE:GILLANDERS) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Gillanders Arbuthnot

What Is Gillanders Arbuthnot's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Gillanders Arbuthnot had debt of ₹2.14b at the end of September 2021, a reduction from ₹2.66b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹135.3m, its net debt is less, at about ₹2.01b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:GILLANDERS Debt to Equity History November 19th 2021

How Healthy Is Gillanders Arbuthnot's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Gillanders Arbuthnot had liabilities of ₹2.70b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹919.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹135.3m as well as receivables valued at ₹548.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹2.94b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹1.23b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Gillanders Arbuthnot would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Gillanders Arbuthnot shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.59 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. On the other hand, Gillanders Arbuthnot grew its EBIT by 24% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Gillanders Arbuthnot will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Gillanders Arbuthnot actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

On the face of it, Gillanders Arbuthnot's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Gillanders Arbuthnot's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Gillanders Arbuthnot (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Discounted cash flow calculation for every stock

Simply Wall St does a detailed discounted cash flow calculation every 6 hours for every stock on the market, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any company just search here. It’s FREE.

Make Confident Investment Decisions

Simply Wall St's Editorial Team provides unbiased, factual reporting on global stocks using in-depth fundamental analysis.
Find out more about our editorial guidelines and team.