Stock Analysis

State Bank of India's (NSE:SBIN) five-year earnings growth trails the 36% YoY shareholder returns

NSEI:SBIN
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We think all investors should try to buy and hold high quality multi-year winners. While not every stock performs well, when investors win, they can win big. To wit, the State Bank of India (NSE:SBIN) share price has soared 344% over five years. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. Meanwhile the share price is 5.8% higher than it was a week ago.

Since it's been a strong week for State Bank of India shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over half a decade, State Bank of India managed to grow its earnings per share at 41% a year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 35% per year. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:SBIN Earnings Per Share Growth April 19th 2025

It is of course excellent to see how State Bank of India has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on State Bank of India's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

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What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, State Bank of India's TSR for the last 5 years was 371%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that State Bank of India has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 8.0% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 36% per year, is even more impressive. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for State Bank of India you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.