Stock Analysis

Should You Think About Buying Lumax Auto Technologies Limited (NSE:LUMAXTECH) Now?

NSEI:LUMAXTECH
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While Lumax Auto Technologies Limited (NSE:LUMAXTECH) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it led the NSEI gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s examine Lumax Auto Technologies’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Lumax Auto Technologies

What's the opportunity in Lumax Auto Technologies?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Lumax Auto Technologies’s ratio of 30.25x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 32.56x, which means if you buy Lumax Auto Technologies today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe Lumax Auto Technologies should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Lumax Auto Technologies’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Lumax Auto Technologies look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:LUMAXTECH Earnings and Revenue Growth March 2nd 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Lumax Auto Technologies. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in LUMAXTECH’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at LUMAXTECH? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on LUMAXTECH, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for LUMAXTECH, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Lumax Auto Technologies as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Lumax Auto Technologies you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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