There's Reason For Concern Over China High Precision Automation Group Limited's (HKG:591) Massive 47% Price Jump
China High Precision Automation Group Limited (HKG:591) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 47% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 37% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may consider China High Precision Automation Group as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for China High Precision Automation Group
How Has China High Precision Automation Group Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at China High Precision Automation Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for China High Precision Automation Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is China High Precision Automation Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as China High Precision Automation Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 1.6%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 8.7% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that China High Precision Automation Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
China High Precision Automation Group shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that China High Precision Automation Group currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Having said that, be aware China High Precision Automation Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of China High Precision Automation Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:591
China High Precision Automation Group
An investment holding company, manufactures and sells high precision industrial automation instrument and technology products in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet very low.
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