Stock Analysis

Central China Management Company Limited (HKG:9982) Analysts Just Cut Their EPS Forecasts Substantially

SEHK:9982
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Market forces rained on the parade of Central China Management Company Limited (HKG:9982) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded their forecasts for this year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.

After the downgrade, the consensus from Central China Management's dual analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.2b in 2022, which would reflect a perceptible 4.1% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to shrink 2.1% to CN¥0.23 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥1.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.27 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Central China Management's prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

Check out our latest analysis for Central China Management

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SEHK:9982 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 16th 2022

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 4.1% by the end of 2022. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 18% over the last three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 9.3% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Central China Management is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Central China Management's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. After a cut like that, investors could be forgiven for thinking analysts are a lot more bearish on Central China Management, and a few readers might choose to steer clear of the stock.

After a downgrade like this, it's pretty clear that previous forecasts were too optimistic. What's more, we've spotted several possible issues with Central China Management's business, like concerns around earnings quality. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 1 other risk we've identified.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.