Is There Now An Opportunity In Hysan Development Company Limited (HKG:14)?

While Hysan Development Company Limited (HKG:14) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the SEHK. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s take a look at Hysan Development’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Hysan Development

Is Hysan Development Still Cheap?

Hysan Development appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 28.44x is currently well-above the industry average of 6.27x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. Another thing to keep in mind is that Hysan Development’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards the levels of its industry peers over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard for it to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What does the future of Hysan Development look like?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Hysan Development. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in 14’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe 14 should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on 14 for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 14, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Hysan Development as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Hysan Development and you'll want to know about them.

If you are no longer interested in Hysan Development, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.