Hysan Development Company Limited

SEHK:14 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$14.5b

Hysan Development Valuation

Is 14 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 14 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 14 (HK$14.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$5.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 14 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 14?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

14 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue14.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20.2x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 14's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 14 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
1528 Red Star Macalline Group
0.9x2.9%HK$15.3b
10 Hang Lung Group
1.3xn/aHK$15.0b
6666 Evergrande Property Services Group
0.8xn/aHK$11.1b
2869 Greentown Service Group
0.8x9.6%HK$16.5b
14 Hysan Development
4.4x2.7%HK$14.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 14 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 14's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 14 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 14's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

14 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.4x
Fair PS Ratio4.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 14 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 14 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$14.10
HK$14.02
-0.5%
12.3%HK$18.00HK$11.20n/a13
Sep ’25HK$12.56
HK$13.92
+10.8%
12.3%HK$18.00HK$11.20n/a13
Aug ’25HK$10.64
HK$14.56
+36.8%
15.6%HK$18.00HK$11.00n/a13
Jul ’25HK$11.22
HK$16.23
+44.7%
16.1%HK$23.80HK$13.70n/a13
Jun ’25HK$12.10
HK$16.23
+34.2%
16.1%HK$23.80HK$13.70n/a13
May ’25HK$12.24
HK$16.31
+33.3%
16.0%HK$23.80HK$13.70n/a13
Apr ’25HK$12.62
HK$16.77
+32.9%
16.0%HK$23.80HK$13.70n/a13
Mar ’25HK$12.86
HK$16.77
+30.4%
16.0%HK$23.80HK$13.70n/a13
Feb ’25HK$13.34
HK$21.07
+57.9%
17.4%HK$28.00HK$17.70n/a12
Jan ’25HK$15.50
HK$23.78
+53.4%
13.9%HK$30.00HK$19.00n/a12
Dec ’24HK$14.72
HK$25.66
+74.3%
15.1%HK$34.80HK$20.00n/a12
Nov ’24HK$14.60
HK$25.49
+74.6%
16.2%HK$34.80HK$18.00n/a12
Oct ’24HK$15.18
HK$25.53
+68.2%
15.6%HK$34.80HK$18.00HK$13.4413
Sep ’24HK$16.34
HK$26.07
+59.5%
12.8%HK$34.80HK$22.10HK$12.5613
Aug ’24HK$18.54
HK$28.12
+51.6%
12.3%HK$34.80HK$22.10HK$10.6413
Jul ’24HK$19.12
HK$29.03
+51.8%
10.8%HK$34.80HK$23.00HK$11.2213
Jun ’24HK$19.92
HK$29.19
+46.5%
12.4%HK$34.80HK$20.00HK$12.1013
May ’24HK$22.15
HK$29.50
+33.2%
11.5%HK$34.80HK$20.00HK$12.2413
Apr ’24HK$22.30
HK$29.46
+32.1%
11.5%HK$34.80HK$20.00HK$12.6213
Mar ’24HK$25.45
HK$29.46
+15.7%
11.5%HK$34.80HK$20.00HK$12.8613
Feb ’24HK$26.35
HK$28.63
+8.7%
14.7%HK$35.00HK$20.00HK$13.3413
Jan ’24HK$25.30
HK$25.21
-0.4%
15.6%HK$31.50HK$20.00HK$15.5013
Dec ’23HK$21.05
HK$24.24
+15.2%
15.6%HK$30.25HK$19.10HK$14.7213
Nov ’23HK$17.50
HK$25.83
+47.6%
13.3%HK$32.00HK$20.00HK$14.6013
Oct ’23HK$19.78
HK$26.69
+34.9%
12.2%HK$32.00HK$20.00HK$15.1812

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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