Stock Analysis

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For China Tianrui Group Cement Company Limited's (HKG:1252) Mixed Fundamentals?

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SEHK:1252
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China Tianrui Group Cement (HKG:1252) has had a rough month with its share price down 9.1%. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. Specifically, we decided to study China Tianrui Group Cement's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for China Tianrui Group Cement

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Tianrui Group Cement is:

1.2% = CN¥199m ÷ CN¥17b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.01 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

China Tianrui Group Cement's Earnings Growth And 1.2% ROE

It is hard to argue that China Tianrui Group Cement's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 2.3%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 15% seen by China Tianrui Group Cement over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

With the industry earnings declining at a rate of 15% in the same period, we deduce that both the company and the industry are shrinking at the same rate.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:1252 Past Earnings Growth September 26th 2023

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China Tianrui Group Cement is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is China Tianrui Group Cement Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Because China Tianrui Group Cement doesn't pay any dividends, we infer that it is retaining all of its profits, which is rather perplexing when you consider the fact that there is no earnings growth to show for it. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by China Tianrui Group Cement can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for China Tianrui Group Cement.

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