PICC Property and Casualty Company Limited (HKG:2328) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?
PICC Property and Casualty (HKG:2328) has had a rough month with its share price down 1.5%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on PICC Property and Casualty's ROE.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
Check out our latest analysis for PICC Property and Casualty
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for PICC Property and Casualty is:
9.3% = CN¥23b ÷ CN¥246b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.09.
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
PICC Property and Casualty's Earnings Growth And 9.3% ROE
On the face of it, PICC Property and Casualty's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.3%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. On the other hand, PICC Property and Casualty reported a fairly low 4.9% net income growth over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high . So this could also be one of the reasons behind the company's low growth in earnings.
Given that the industry shrunk its earnings at a rate of 6.2% over the last few years, the net income growth of the company is quite impressive.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is PICC Property and Casualty fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is PICC Property and Casualty Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 36% (implying that the company retains the remaining 64% of its income), PICC Property and Casualty's earnings growth was quite low. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.
In addition, PICC Property and Casualty has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 40%. Regardless, the future ROE for PICC Property and Casualty is predicted to rise to 12% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.
Summary
On the whole, we do feel that PICC Property and Casualty has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2328
PICC Property and Casualty
Operates as a property and casualty insurance company in the People’s Republic of China.
Average dividend payer and fair value.