Stock Analysis

Is CMON (HKG:1792) Using Too Much Debt?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, CMON Limited (HKG:1792) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

What Is CMON's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CMON had debt of US$4.01m at the end of December 2024, a reduction from US$5.85m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$2.10m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.91m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1792 Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2025

How Strong Is CMON's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CMON had liabilities of US$9.63m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.17m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$2.10m in cash and US$9.1k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$12.7m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$5.03m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, CMON would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CMON will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

View our latest analysis for CMON

Over 12 months, CMON made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$37m, which is a fall of 17%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

While CMON's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$2.6m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost US$3.0m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for CMON (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1792

CMON

An investment holding company, designs, develops, and sells board games, miniature war games, and other hobby products in North America, South America, Europe, Asia, and Oceania.

Adequate balance sheet and fair value.

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