Stock Analysis

Aegean Airlines' (ATH:AEGN) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

ATSE:AEGN
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Aegean Airlines S.A. (ATH:AEGN) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 26th of May to €0.80. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 6.6%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Aegean Airlines

Aegean Airlines' Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. The last dividend was quite easily covered by Aegean Airlines' earnings. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 9.9% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 51% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
ATSE:AEGN Historic Dividend March 20th 2025

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was €0.70 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was €0.80. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 1.3% per annum over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's encouraging to see that Aegean Airlines has been growing its earnings per share at 5.7% a year over the past five years. Shareholders are getting plenty of the earnings returned to them, which combined with strong growth makes this quite appealing.

In Summary

Overall, it's great to see the dividend being raised and that it is still in a sustainable range. While the payout ratios are a good sign, we are less enthusiastic about the company's dividend record. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Aegean Airlines that you should be aware of before investing. Is Aegean Airlines not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.