Stock Analysis

Bullish: Analysts Just Made A Significant Upgrade To Their Redx Pharma Plc (LON:REDX) Forecasts

AIM:REDX
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Redx Pharma Plc (LON:REDX) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's forecasts. The analysts greatly increased their revenue estimates, suggesting a stark improvement in business fundamentals.

Following the upgrade, the current consensus from Redx Pharma's twin analysts is for revenues of UK£19m in 2022 which - if met - would reflect a decent 17% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Losses are supposed to balloon 26% to UK£0.07 per share. Yet before this consensus update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of UK£15m and losses of UK£0.082 per share in 2022. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analysts making a sizeable increase to their revenue forecasts while also reducing the estimated loss as the business grows towards breakeven.

Check out our latest analysis for Redx Pharma

earnings-and-revenue-growth
AIM:REDX Earnings and Revenue Growth July 9th 2022

Despite these upgrades, the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of UK£1.55, implying that their latest estimates don't have a long term impact on what they think the stock is worth.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Redx Pharma is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 17% annualised growth until the end of 2022. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 17% annual decline over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 6.8% annually. So it looks like Redx Pharma is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that analysts reduced their loss per share estimates for this year, reflecting increased optimism around Redx Pharma's prospects. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling, but with a serious upgrade to this year's earnings expectations, it might be time to take another look at Redx Pharma.

Analysts are definitely bullish on Redx Pharma, but no company is perfect. Indeed, you should know that there are several potential concerns to be aware of, including dilutive stock issuance over the past year. For more information, you can click through to our platform to learn more about this and the 2 other warning signs we've identified .

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.