Rio Tinto Group Valuation

Is RIO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RIO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
UK£49.72
Fair Value
1.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RIO?

Key metric:

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RIO. This is calculated by dividing RIO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RIO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.3x
EarningsUS$10.75b
Market CapUS$105.86b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RIO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RIO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16x
ANTO Antofagasta
28x16.3%UK£17.4b
KMR Kenmare Resources
4.1x1.5%UK£277.9m
GFM Griffin Mining
15.7x11.1%UK£271.2m
BHP BHP Group
16.2x6.3%AU$206.0b
RIO Rio Tinto Group
9.4x2.1%UK£85.6b


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RIO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.8xn/aUS$4.08b
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUS$1.42b
MTL Metals Exploration
0.8x-14.2%US$119.33m
TGR Tirupati Graphite
1.2xn/aUS$10.50m
No more companies available in this PE range
RIO 9.3xIndustry Avg. 9.4xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RIO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RIO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.3x
Fair PE Ratio19.4x


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
UK£60.02
Fair Value
16.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/21 18:36
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/21 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Rio Tinto Group is covered by 72 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited