Capital Valuation

Is CAPD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CAPD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CAPD (£0.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£3.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CAPD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CAPD?

Key metric: As CAPD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CAPD. This is calculated by dividing CAPD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CAPD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.3x
EarningsUS$29.00m
Market CapUS$210.30m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CAPD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CAPD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.1x
GFM Griffin Mining
16.3x-3.8%UK£276.8m
MTL Metals Exploration
0.9x-60.3%UK£98.5m
KMR Kenmare Resources
4.7x4.3%UK£315.9m
KOD Kodal Minerals
2.4x-46.5%UK£64.8m
CAPD Capital
7.3x11.0%UK£166.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CAPD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (6.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CAPD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ENPL En+ Group International
2.2x8.0%US$4.67b
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.8xn/aUS$4.08b
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUS$1.42b
MTL Metals Exploration
0.9x-60.3%US$124.19m
CAPD 7.3xIndustry Avg. 10.2xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CAPD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (9.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CAPD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CAPD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio11.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CAPD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CAPD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.85
UK£1.38
+61.9%
10.9%UK£1.60UK£1.20n/a4
Nov ’25UK£0.84
UK£1.38
+63.0%
10.9%UK£1.60UK£1.20n/a4
Oct ’25UK£0.83
UK£1.41
+69.7%
8.1%UK£1.58UK£1.26n/a4
Sep ’25UK£0.87
UK£1.43
+64.7%
7.4%UK£1.59UK£1.30n/a4
Aug ’25UK£0.92
UK£1.43
+55.9%
8.1%UK£1.60UK£1.28n/a4
Jul ’25UK£1.01
UK£1.42
+41.4%
6.7%UK£1.57UK£1.30n/a4
Jun ’25UK£0.98
UK£1.42
+45.0%
6.7%UK£1.57UK£1.30n/a4
May ’25UK£1.04
UK£1.48
+43.0%
6.9%UK£1.60UK£1.33n/a4
Apr ’25UK£0.90
UK£1.48
+64.2%
7.5%UK£1.60UK£1.30n/a4
Mar ’25UK£0.91
UK£1.48
+63.4%
7.4%UK£1.60UK£1.31n/a4
Feb ’25UK£0.87
UK£1.48
+70.7%
7.4%UK£1.60UK£1.30n/a4
Jan ’25UK£0.90
UK£1.51
+68.0%
6.4%UK£1.66UK£1.41n/a5
Dec ’24UK£0.80
UK£1.56
+96.1%
5.9%UK£1.73UK£1.47n/a5
Nov ’24UK£0.79
UK£1.56
+98.1%
5.9%UK£1.73UK£1.47UK£0.845
Oct ’24UK£0.85
UK£1.63
+91.2%
6.8%UK£1.79UK£1.47UK£0.835
Sep ’24UK£0.83
UK£1.61
+94.5%
8.1%UK£1.77UK£1.42UK£0.875
Aug ’24UK£0.84
UK£1.60
+91.0%
7.8%UK£1.75UK£1.40UK£0.925
Jul ’24UK£0.95
UK£1.60
+68.7%
6.6%UK£1.77UK£1.47UK£1.015
Jun ’24UK£0.97
UK£1.59
+63.7%
7.2%UK£1.75UK£1.45UK£0.985
May ’24UK£1.00
UK£1.59
+59.1%
7.2%UK£1.75UK£1.45UK£1.045
Apr ’24UK£0.99
UK£1.56
+58.2%
7.3%UK£1.71UK£1.42UK£0.905
Mar ’24UK£1.06
UK£1.57
+48.0%
8.6%UK£1.75UK£1.40UK£0.915
Feb ’24UK£1.02
UK£1.57
+53.8%
8.6%UK£1.75UK£1.40UK£0.875
Jan ’24UK£0.97
UK£1.53
+57.3%
8.2%UK£1.68UK£1.32UK£0.905
Dec ’23UK£0.94
UK£1.61
+70.0%
9.1%UK£1.79UK£1.41UK£0.805
Nov ’23UK£0.84
UK£1.59
+89.3%
9.1%UK£1.78UK£1.39UK£0.795

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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