Rio Tinto Group Dividends and Buybacks
Dividend criteria checks 3/6
Rio Tinto Group is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 3.85% that is well covered by earnings.
Key information
3.8%
Dividend yield
n/a
Buyback Yield
| Total Shareholder Yield | n/a |
| Future Dividend Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Growth | 8.0% |
| Next dividend pay date | n/a |
| Ex dividend date | n/a |
| Dividend per share | n/a |
| Payout ratio | 66% |
Recent dividend and buyback updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 14
RIO: Copper Outlook And Asset Sales Will Shape Fairly Valued Shares
Analysts have raised the average price target for Rio Tinto Group by about £3 to reflect updated assumptions for fair value, discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, based on recent research that includes several price target increases and a few reductions. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture for Rio Tinto Group, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets in both US$ and GBp, while a handful of large banks have turned more cautious on valuation and commodity risk.
Narrative Update • Apr 29
RIO: Cautious Tone Will Persist As Copper And Iron Ore Risks Intensify
Rio Tinto Group’s updated analyst price target reflects a modest uplift of about £0.25 per share, with analysts pointing to refreshed commodity assumptions, slightly higher revenue growth expectations, and updated P/E multiples, partly offset by more conservative margin and discount rate inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a split view on Rio Tinto Group, with some firms lifting price targets while several bearish analysts have taken a more cautious stance on valuation, commodity exposure, and near term execution risks.Narrative Update • Apr 14
RIO: Cautious Tone Will Tighten As Copper And Iron Ore Risks Deepen
Analysts have slightly lowered the fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to £57.66 from £58.52, reflecting updated price targets that balance higher revenue and margin assumptions with a modestly higher discount rate and P/E expectations highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rio Tinto Group reflects a mix of upgraded and downgraded views, with some firms lifting price targets while others trim expectations or move to more neutral stances.Narrative Update • Mar 31
RIO: Cautious Outlook As Copper And Iron Ore Assumptions Turn More Conservative
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to £58.52 from £41.00. This change reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and sector valuation following a series of mixed price target revisions and rating downgrades across the Street.Narrative Update • Mar 17
RIO: Ended Glencore Talks Will Refocus On Copper And Asset Sales
Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for Rio Tinto Group by roughly £400 to around £7,200, reflecting updated views on commodity risk, iron ore seasonality and valuation after recent share gains. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mixed but generally cautious stance on Rio Tinto, with several firms trimming price targets and shifting ratings toward more neutral positions after a strong share price run.
Narrative Update • Mar 03
RIO: Post Glencore Talks And Copper Outlook Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to the equivalent of about £69.66 per share, from £63.89. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, margins and future P/E, even as recent Street research shows a mix of reduced and raised price targets in the £5,900 to £8,300 range and a shift toward more Neutral and Equal Weight ratings.
New Narrative • Feb 23
Rio Tinto (RIO): Cash Machine with a China Beta Problem — and a Copper Glow-Up
If I had to summarise Rio Tinto in one line, I would describe it as a world-class iron ore franchise that is now being forced to adapt to a changing China and a changing commodity landscape. For years, Rio’s investment case has been built on the strength of its Pilbara iron ore operations.Narrative Update • Feb 16
RIO: Ended Glencore Talks And Planned Asset Sales Will Support Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group higher to about £84 from roughly £83, citing Street research that includes several recent price target increases and mixed rating changes. These changes balance a slightly higher assumed revenue growth rate with a modestly lower profit margin and a marginally higher future P/E and discount rate.Narrative Update • Feb 02
RIO: Potential Glencore Deal And Asset Sales Will Drive Future Upside
The latest Narrative Update on Rio Tinto Group reflects a higher implied fair value of about $83.33 per share, up from roughly $74.17, as analysts adjust their price targets to account for tweaked discount rates, slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rio Tinto Group has been mixed, but there are several clear positives that bullish analysts are highlighting when they adjust their models and targets.Narrative Update • Jan 19
RIO: Megamerger Talks And Critical Mineral Moves Will Shape Medium Term Outlook
Rio Tinto's updated analyst price targets, including recent moves to about £57.00, reflect analysts' use of higher fair value estimates, slightly adjusted discount rates, and refreshed assumptions around revenue, profit margins, and P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting price targets toward about £57.00, which signals more confidence in the underlying fair value they assign to Rio Tinto based on their updated models.Narrative Update • Jan 05
RIO: Higher Commodity Exposure And Asset Sales Will Drive Future Upside
Analyst price targets for Rio Tinto Group have shifted higher overall, with recent moves such as Citi lifting its target to £57.00 from £46.00 and other banks adjusting into the £52.00 to £61.70 range, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a generally constructive tone around Rio Tinto Group, with several bullish analysts adjusting their price targets into a higher £52.00 to £61.70 band.Narrative Update • Dec 17
RIO: Stronger Commodity Pricing And Cost Discipline Will Drive Upside Potential
Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been revised higher, with fair value estimates rising from approximately 65.08 to 74.18 as analysts factor in stronger expected revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a more favorable, though slightly higher risk-adjusted, earnings multiple implied by the latest round of target hikes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a constructive tone on Rio Tinto, with a series of price target increases signaling growing confidence in the company’s earnings power and balance of risk and reward.Narrative Update • Dec 03
RIO: Critical Mineral Moves And Board Decisions Will Shape Medium Term Outlook
Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has edged higher to approximately $57.09 from about $56.84, as analysts broadly lift their expectations on the shares amid a series of upward revisions to U.K. price targets, despite slightly softer long term growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions indicate that bullish analysts see further upside for Rio Tinto shares, with multiple upward adjustments across the U.K. coverage universe.Narrative Update • Nov 19
RIO: Upcoming Board Decisions And Mineral Trade Shifts Will Shape Outlook
Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been increased from £56.23 to £56.84, as analysts point to improved revenue growth estimates. Recent upward revisions from major firms also support a slightly stronger outlook for the stock.Narrative Update • Nov 03
RIO: Steady Copper And Iron Ore Outlook Will Offset Operational And Governance Risks
Rio Tinto Group’s analyst price target has been adjusted upward from £54.85 to £56.23. This reflects analysts’ expectations for steady fundamentals in light of recent incremental changes in revenue growth and profit margin forecasts.Narrative Update • Oct 20
Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds
Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has risen to £54.85 from £53.30. This reflects analysts' expectations for improved revenue growth and profit margins, despite ongoing adjustments to market risk assessments.Narrative Update • Oct 05
Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds
Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been modestly increased to £53.30 from £52.27, reflecting analysts' expectations for improved revenue growth and profitability, even as caution remains around iron ore market risks. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates highlight a mix of confidence and caution surrounding Rio Tinto Group's outlook.Narrative Update • Sep 20
Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds
Analyst price targets for Rio Tinto Group have increased modestly to £52.27 as bullish analysts cited strong operational performance despite iron ore demand concerns and sector headwinds, though target upgrades remain incremental. Analyst Commentary Rising downside risks to iron ore prices, particularly in the near term, have led to more cautious outlooks and downgrades by bearish analysts.Narrative Update • Sep 04
Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Rio Tinto Group to £51.49, reflecting increased caution due to downside risks in iron ore prices and muted Chinese stimulus, with earnings estimates trimmed and consensus now factoring a more conservative commodity outlook. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts flag downside risks to iron ore prices, particularly in the months ahead, impacting Rio Tinto’s earnings outlook.
New Narrative • Feb 23
Energy Transition Demand Will Aid Copper And Aluminum Prospects Despite Iron Ore Headwinds
Strategic diversification into copper, aluminum, and lithium aligns with global energy trends, potentially boosting future revenue and aligning with decarbonization efforts.Stability and Growth of Payments
Fetching dividends data
Stable Dividend: RIO's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: RIO's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Dividend Yield vs Market
| Rio Tinto Group Dividend Yield vs Market |
|---|
| Segment | Dividend Yield |
|---|---|
| Company (RIO) | 3.8% |
| Market Bottom 25% (GB) | 2.2% |
| Market Top 25% (GB) | 5.6% |
| Industry Average (Metals and Mining) | 2.6% |
| Analyst forecast (RIO) (up to 3 years) | 4.6% |
Notable Dividend: RIO's dividend (3.85%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (2.23%).
High Dividend: RIO's dividend (3.85%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (5.64%).
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its reasonable payout ratio (65.5%), RIO's dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its high cash payout ratio (145.4%), RIO's dividend payments are not well covered by cash flows.
Discover strong dividend paying companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/22 09:51 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Rio Tinto Group is covered by 52 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Coleman | Argus Research Company |
| Amos Fletcher | Barclays |
| Peter Ward | Barclays |