Stock Analysis

Sabre Insurance Group (LON:SBRE) Is Reducing Its Dividend To £0.017

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LSE:SBRE
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Sabre Insurance Group plc (LON:SBRE) has announced that on 1st of June, it will be paying a dividend of£0.017, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. Despite the cut, the dividend yield of 4.4% will still be comparable to other companies in the industry.

View our latest analysis for Sabre Insurance Group

Sabre Insurance Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Based on the last payment, Sabre Insurance Group's profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, we could see the payout ratio reaching 19% which is fairly sustainable.

historic-dividend
LSE:SBRE Historic Dividend March 17th 2023

Sabre Insurance Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, Sabre Insurance Group's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. Since 2018, the dividend has gone from £0.144 total annually to £0.045. This works out to a decline of approximately 69% over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. Over the past five years, it looks as though Sabre Insurance Group's EPS has declined at around 22% a year. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sabre Insurance Group that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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