Stock Analysis

With EPS Growth And More, Hilton Food Group (LON:HFG) Is Interesting

LSE:HFG
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. And in their study titled Who Falls Prey to the Wolf of Wall Street?' Leuz et. al. found that it is 'quite common' for investors to lose money by buying into 'pump and dump' schemes.

In contrast to all that, I prefer to spend time on companies like Hilton Food Group (LON:HFG), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Even if the shares are fully valued today, most capitalists would recognize its profits as the demonstration of steady value generation. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

View our latest analysis for Hilton Food Group

How Quickly Is Hilton Food Group Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS). It's no surprise, then, that I like to invest in companies with EPS growth. We can see that in the last three years Hilton Food Group grew its EPS by 13% per year. That growth rate is fairly good, assuming the company can keep it up.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). Hilton Food Group maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 52% to UK£2.8b. That's progress.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
LSE:HFG Earnings and Revenue History June 14th 2021

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Hilton Food Group's forecast profits?

Are Hilton Food Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like standing at the lookout, surveying the horizon at sunrise, insider buying, for some investors, sparks joy. Because oftentimes, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

Not only did Hilton Food Group insiders refrain from selling stock during the year, but they also spent UK£112k buying it. That puts the company in a nice light, as it makes me think its leaders are feeling confident. We also note that it was the Non-Executive Chairman, Robert Watson, who made the biggest single acquisition, paying UK£102k for shares at about UK£10.17 each.

On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that Hilton Food Group insiders have a valuable investment in the business. Notably, they have an enormous stake in the company, worth UK£162m. Coming in at 18% of the business, that holding gives insiders a lot of influence, and plenty of reason to generate value for shareholders. Very encouraging.

Is Hilton Food Group Worth Keeping An Eye On?

One important encouraging feature of Hilton Food Group is that it is growing profits. On top of that, we've seen insiders buying shares even though they already own plenty. To me, that all makes it well worth a spot on your watchlist, as well as continuing research. Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for Hilton Food Group that we have uncovered.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of Hilton Food Group, you'll probably love this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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