Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Star Energy Group Plc (LON:STAR) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Star Energy Group
What Is Star Energy Group's Debt?
As you can see below, Star Energy Group had UKĀ£5.36m of debt at December 2023, down from UKĀ£8.74m a year prior. However, it does have UKĀ£3.86m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about UKĀ£1.50m.
How Strong Is Star Energy Group's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Star Energy Group had liabilities of UKĀ£20.5m due within a year, and liabilities of UKĀ£69.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had UKĀ£3.86m in cash and UKĀ£5.83m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UKĀ£80.7m.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the UKĀ£11.1m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Star Energy Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
With net debt at just 0.098 times EBITDA, it seems Star Energy Group only uses a little bit of leverage. Although with EBIT only covering interest expenses 2.7 times over, the company is truly paying for borrowing. We also note that Star Energy Group improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive UKĀ£5.3m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Star Energy Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Star Energy Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
While Star Energy Group's level of total liabilities has us nervous. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Star Energy Group's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Star Energy Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About AIM:STAR
Star Energy Group
Operates as an oil and gas exploration, development, processing, and production company in the United Kingdom.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.