Stock Analysis

With Experian plc (LON:EXPN) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

LSE:EXPN
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When close to half the companies in the United Kingdom have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 15x, you may consider Experian plc (LON:EXPN) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 35.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been pleasing for Experian as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Experian

pe-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:EXPN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Experian.

Is There Enough Growth For Experian?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Experian's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 7.8% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 55% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 12% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Experian is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Experian maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Experian you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Experian, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Experian might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.