Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From XP Power Limited's (LON:XPP) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 25%

LSE:XPP
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XP Power Limited (LON:XPP) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 54% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, XP Power may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Electrical industry in the United Kingdom have P/S ratios greater than 2.5x and even P/S higher than 16x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for XP Power

ps-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:XPP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does XP Power's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

XP Power could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on XP Power will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is XP Power's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, XP Power would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 9.0% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 36% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 1.1% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 101% growth per year, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that XP Power's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On XP Power's P/S

XP Power's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that XP Power's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, XP Power's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for XP Power (2 are a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.