Stock Analysis

Travis Perkins (LON:TPK) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.055

LSE:TPK
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Travis Perkins plc (LON:TPK) has announced that it will pay a dividend of £0.055 per share on the 8th of November. This means that the annual payment is 1.2% of the current stock price, which is lower than what the rest of the industry is paying.

See our latest analysis for Travis Perkins

Estimates Indicate Travis Perkins' Dividend Coverage Likely To Improve

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Travis Perkins is not generating a profit, but its free cash flows easily cover the dividend, leaving plenty for reinvestment in the business. We generally think that cash flow is more important than accounting measures of profit, so we are fairly comfortable with the dividend at this level.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio will be 34%, which makes us pretty comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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LSE:TPK Historic Dividend September 25th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was £0.347, compared to the most recent full-year payment of £0.11. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 68% over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Travis Perkins Could Grow Its Dividend

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. Travis Perkins has impressed us by growing EPS at 5.9% per year over the past five years. It's not great that the company is not turning a profit, but the decent growth in recent years is certainly a positive sign. Assuming the company can post positive net income numbers soon, it could has the potential to be a decent dividend payer.

Our Thoughts On Travis Perkins' Dividend

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Companies that are growing earnings tend to be the best dividend stocks over the long term. See what the 16 analysts we track are forecasting for Travis Perkins for free with public analyst estimates for the company. Is Travis Perkins not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.