David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Axway Software SA (EPA:AXW) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Axway Software
How Much Debt Does Axway Software Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Axway Software had debt of €40.2m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from €42.7m over a year. However, it does have €16.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €24.0m.
A Look At Axway Software's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Axway Software had liabilities of €121.4m due within a year, and liabilities of €82.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €16.2m in cash and €107.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €80.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Axway Software has a market capitalization of €588.0m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Axway Software's net debt is only 0.78 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.4 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Another good sign is that Axway Software has been able to increase its EBIT by 25% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Axway Software can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Axway Software produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 59% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
Happily, Axway Software's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Zooming out, Axway Software seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Axway Software .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About ENXTPA:74SW
74Software
Operates as an infrastructure software publisher in France, rest of Europe, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.