Stock Analysis

The Bull Case For Carmila (ENXTPA:CARM) Could Change Following Its €300M Oversubscribed Green Bond Issue

  • Carmila recently completed a highly oversubscribed €300 million green bond issue maturing in January 2033 with a 3.75% annual coupon, alongside a tender offer for four existing bonds as part of its balance sheet optimization strategy.
  • This move attracted significant demand from both French and international investors, underlining market confidence in Carmila's sustainability initiatives and proactive debt management approach.
  • We'll explore how Carmila's refinancing and focus on green finance could reinforce its investment thesis and financial flexibility.

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Carmila Investment Narrative Recap

Carmila's investment case centers on the long-term resilience of prime retail centers in France, Spain, and Italy, supported by adaptability to new retail trends. The recent €300 million green bond issue has no material impact on the immediate catalyst of sustained leasing momentum but may help alleviate refinancing risk, which remains the principal concern given Carmila's current leverage and regional focus.

Among recent news, Carmila’s tender offer on €1.775 billion of existing notes stands out. This action, pairing with the green bond issue, targets extension and optimization of the debt profile, an important step for resolving short-term balance sheet pressure as leasing and occupancy trends evolve.

In contrast, it’s essential for investors to keep a close watch on refinancing risk given that...

Read the full narrative on Carmila (it's free!)

Carmila's narrative projects €431.7 million in revenue and €332.5 million in earnings by 2028. This requires an annual revenue decline of 8.9% and an earnings decrease of €19.9 million from current earnings of €352.4 million.

Uncover how Carmila's forecasts yield a €20.70 fair value, a 24% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ENXTPA:CARM Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Oct 2025
ENXTPA:CARM Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Oct 2025

Two members of the Simply Wall St Community estimate Carmila’s fair value between €20.70 and €27.93 per share. Community outlooks vary, while refinancing risk remains prominent and could influence financial flexibility and future growth. Consider several viewpoints to broaden your understanding.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Carmila - why the stock might be worth just €20.70!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ENXTPA:CARM

Carmila

As the third-largest listed owner of commercial property in Europe, Carmila was founded by Carrefour and large institutional investors in order to enhance the value of shopping centres adjoining Carrefour hypermarkets in France, Spain and Italy.

Very undervalued with proven track record and pays a dividend.

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