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Valneva SEENXTPA:VLA Stock Report

Market Cap €444.5m
Share Price
€2.34
€2.1
11.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y-12.1%
7D-6.5%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Valneva SE

ENXTPA:VLA Stock Report

Market Cap: €444.5m

Valneva (VLA) Stock Overview

A specialty vaccine company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes prophylactic vaccines for infectious diseases with unmet needs. More details

VLA fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth6/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends0/6

VLA Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 24 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Valneva SE Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Valneva
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price€2.34
52 Week High€5.42
52 Week Low€2.14
Beta1.4
1 Month Change-2.33%
3 Month Change-52.42%
1 Year Change-12.08%
3 Year Change-62.54%
5 Year Change-79.97%
Change since IPO-78.61%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 30

VLA: Weaker Travel Vaccine Demand Will Drive Cautious View On Shares

Analysts have slightly reduced their Valneva price target from €2.15 to €2.10, citing revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a higher implied future P/E multiple in their updated models. What's in the News Valneva adjusted its 2026 guidance, setting product sales in a range of €135 million to €150 million and total revenue guidance at €145 million to €160 million, citing an emerging adverse trend in travel vaccine uptake across key markets linked to geopolitical factors (Corporate Guidance, Lowered).
Analysis Article May 15

€5.28: That's What Analysts Think Valneva SE (EPA:VLA) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

Valneva SE ( EPA:VLA ) just released its latest first-quarter report and things are not looking great. Statutory...

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 30

VLA: Weaker Travel Vaccine Demand Will Drive Cautious View On Shares

Analysts have slightly reduced their Valneva price target from €2.15 to €2.10, citing revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a higher implied future P/E multiple in their updated models. What's in the News Valneva adjusted its 2026 guidance, setting product sales in a range of €135 million to €150 million and total revenue guidance at €145 million to €160 million, citing an emerging adverse trend in travel vaccine uptake across key markets linked to geopolitical factors (Corporate Guidance, Lowered).
Analysis Article May 15

€5.28: That's What Analysts Think Valneva SE (EPA:VLA) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

Valneva SE ( EPA:VLA ) just released its latest first-quarter report and things are not looking great. Statutory...
Narrative Update May 03

VLA: Lyme Vaccine Progress And Equity Raise Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have reduced their price target for Valneva from €3.25 to €2.15, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Valneva filed a follow on equity offering of €37.03 million, covering 15,893,817 ordinary shares at €2.33 per share with attached warrants, under Regulation S (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 18

VLA: Lyme Vaccine Progress Will Support Earnings Despite Chikungunya Setback

Analysts have kept their Valneva price target steady at €3.25, citing updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that broadly support the prior valuation level. What's in the News Pfizer and Valneva reported topline Phase 3 VALOR trial results for their 6-valent OspA-based Lyme disease vaccine candidate PF-07307405, with efficacy above 70% in reducing confirmed Lyme cases in two pre specified analyses and no safety concerns identified at the time of analysis.
Narrative Update Apr 03

VLA: Lyme Vaccine Progress Will Offset Chikungunya Headwinds Over Time

Analysts have raised their Valneva price target from €2.95 to €3.25, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple as the main factors behind the change. What's in the News Pfizer and Valneva reported topline Phase 3 VALOR trial data for their investigational 6 valent OspA based Lyme disease vaccine candidate, with efficacy readings in prespecified analyses and Pfizer planning regulatory submissions after reviewing the results and safety profile (Product related announcement).
Narrative Update Mar 20

VLA: Vaccine Partnerships And Guidance Will Drive Bullish Repricing Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target on Valneva slightly lower to about €6.96 from roughly €6.99, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future price-to-earnings levels. What's in the News Elaris FlexCo signed an exclusive global license agreement for Valneva's Clostridioides difficile vaccine candidate VLA84, with plans to use the antigen technology in a next generation program and potential milestone and royalty payments tied to future development, regulatory and commercial outcomes (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 06

VLA: Future Travel Vaccine Franchise And Real World Data Will Drive Reassessment

Analysts have reaffirmed their €10.00 price target for Valneva, with updated assumptions showing a slightly higher discount rate and profit margin, alongside a lower future P/E, suggesting a more balanced view of risk and earnings potential. What's in the News Valneva issued earnings guidance for 2026, expecting total revenues of €155 million to €170 million, with product sales of €145 million to €160 million.
Narrative Update Feb 20

VLA: Future Lyme Vaccine Milestones Will Shape Bullish Repricing Potential

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Valneva from €6.51 to about €6.99. This change reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Feb 05

VLA: Chikungunya Safety Setbacks Will Weigh On Long Term Earnings Potential

Analysts have reduced their price target on Valneva from €3.25 to €2.95, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples in their valuation work. What's in the News Valneva and Instituto Butantan launched a Pilot Vaccination Strategy in Brazil using single shot chikungunya vaccine IXCHIQ, aiming for 20% to 40% coverage of adults aged 18 to 59 in ten municipalities as part of post marketing effectiveness and safety studies (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 22

VLA: Future Vaccine Pipeline Progress Will Support Higher Market Reassessment

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Valneva from €9.50 to €10.00, pointing to adjusted assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the key drivers of the updated price target. What's in the News Valneva decided to voluntarily withdraw the BLA and IND for its chikungunya vaccine IXCHIQ in the US after the FDA suspended the license in August 2025 and later placed the IND on clinical hold following a newly reported foreign serious adverse event that may be plausibly related to vaccination, while causality has not been determined and no active vaccination studies are ongoing (company announcement).
Narrative Update Jan 07

VLA: Chikungunya Commercial Uncertainty Will Undermine Long Term Earnings Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Valneva, with updated assumptions that include a discount rate of 6.76%, revenue growth of 9.16%, a profit margin of 26.93% and a forward P/E of 13.87x, reflecting a recalibration of expectations around the company’s risk profile and earnings outlook. What's in the News Valneva and Serum Institute of India agreed to discontinue their license deal for the single shot chikungunya vaccine, with Valneva regaining full rights to manage supply and commercialization in endemic high risk countries within the funding framework agreed with CEPI and the European Union (Client Announcements).
Narrative Update Dec 14

VLA: Higher Long Term Profit Hopes Will Not Offset Rising Risk

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Valneva from €3.75 to €3.25, reflecting higher perceived risk despite more optimistic long term assumptions for revenue growth and profitability. What's in the News Positive Phase 2 antibody persistence and safety data in 304 children for single shot chikungunya vaccine IXCHIQ, supporting full dose selection and planned Phase 3 development in pediatrics (company announcement) Phase 2 Lyme disease vaccine candidate VLA15 shows strong booster response and favorable safety across age groups, reinforcing partnership with Pfizer ahead of planned 2026 BLA and MAA filings, subject to positive Phase 3 results (company announcement) Strategic reorganization to concentrate French operations in Lyon and close the Nantes site.
Analysis Article Oct 01

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Valneva SE (EPA:VLA) With Shares Advancing 29%

Despite an already strong run, Valneva SE ( EPA:VLA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last...
Analysis Article Sep 10

Is Valneva (EPA:VLA) Using Too Much Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
Narrative Update Aug 24

Rapid Lyme Vaccine Development And Rising Preventative Healthcare Will Shape Future Markets

Valneva's substantial improvement in net profit margin and sharp reduction in future P/E have led to a notable upward revision in the consensus analyst price target from €6.97 to €7.48. What's in the News Health Canada granted marketing authorization for IXCHIQ, Valneva’s single-dose chikungunya vaccine, for individuals aged 12 years and older, supported by robust antibody persistence and safety data.
Analysis Article Jul 24

Valneva SE's (EPA:VLA) Share Price Boosted 28% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Valneva SE ( EPA:VLA ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month...
User avatar
New Narrative May 14

Upcoming Lyme Vaccine Data Will Unlock Market Opportunities

Potential success of the Lyme disease vaccine could significantly boost future revenue and earnings through strategic regulatory filings and commercialization milestones.
Analysis Article Feb 20

Valneva SE (EPA:VLA) Analysts Just Slashed Next Year's Revenue Estimates By 13%

Market forces rained on the parade of Valneva SE ( EPA:VLA ) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded their...
Analysis Article Feb 06

Valneva SE (EPA:VLA) Stock Catapults 35% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

Valneva SE ( EPA:VLA ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 35% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all...
Analysis Article Nov 22

Valneva SE's (EPA:VLA) 25% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Valneva SE ( EPA:VLA ) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days...
Analysis Article Nov 10

€6.97: That's What Analysts Think Valneva SE (EPA:VLA) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

Valneva SE ( EPA:VLA ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. Results overall were...
Analysis Article Sep 19

Revenues Working Against Valneva SE's (EPA:VLA) Share Price Following 29% Dive

Valneva SE ( EPA:VLA ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. For any...

Shareholder Returns

VLAFR BiotechsFR Market
7D-6.5%-18.2%0.4%
1Y-12.1%243.3%1.9%

Return vs Industry: VLA underperformed the French Biotechs industry which returned 238.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: VLA underperformed the French Market which returned 1.8% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is VLA's price volatile compared to industry and market?
VLA volatility
VLA Average Weekly Movement13.6%
Biotechs Industry Average Movement9.6%
Market Average Movement5.2%
10% most volatile stocks in FR Market11.2%
10% least volatile stocks in FR Market2.8%

Stable Share Price: VLA's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the French market.

Volatility Over Time: VLA's weekly volatility (14%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of French stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1998674Thomas Lingelbachvalneva.com

Valneva SE, a specialty vaccine company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes prophylactic vaccines for infectious diseases with unmet needs. It offers IXIARO, an inactivated Vero cell culture-derived Japanese encephalitis vaccine indicated for active immunization against Japanese encephalitis; DUKORAL, an oral vaccine for the prevention of diarrhea caused by Vibrio cholera or heat-labile toxin producing enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli bacterium; and IXCHIQ/ VLA1553, a single-dose, live-attenuated vaccine for the prevention of disease caused by chikungunya virus. The company also develops VLA15, a vaccine candidate against Borrelia, the bacterium that causes Lyme disease; S4V2, a tetravalent bioconjugate vaccine candidate against shigellosis, a diarrheal infection caused by Shigella bacteria; VLA1601, a vaccine candidate targeting the Zika virus, a mosquito-borne viral disease; VLA1554, a vaccine candidate targeting human metapneumovirus; VLA84, a vaccine candidate targeting the prevention of primary symptomatic clostridium difficile infection; and VLA2112, a vaccine candidate to treat patients with epstein-barr virus.

Valneva SE Fundamentals Summary

How do Valneva's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
VLA fundamental statistics
Market cap€444.53m
Earnings (TTM)-€138.03m
Revenue (TTM)€156.33m
2.8x
P/S Ratio
-3.2x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
VLA income statement (TTM)
Revenue€156.33m
Cost of Revenue€195.84m
Gross Profit-€39.51m
Other Expenses€98.52m
Earnings-€138.03m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Aug 13, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.73
Gross Margin-25.27%
Net Profit Margin-88.30%
Debt/Equity Ratio237.7%

How did VLA perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/08 08:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/05 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Valneva SE is covered by 15 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Vladimira UrbankovaErste Group Bank AG
Simon ScholesFirst Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Rajan SharmaGoldman Sachs