Stock Analysis

Investors Give Median Technologies SA (EPA:ALMDT) Shares A 28% Hiding

ENXTPA:ALMDT
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Median Technologies SA (EPA:ALMDT) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 60% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Median Technologies' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S in France's Healthcare Services industry is similar at about 2.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Median Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTPA:ALMDT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 14th 2024

What Does Median Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Median Technologies hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Median Technologies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Median Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Median Technologies' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.0%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 105% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 20% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 7.3%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Median Technologies' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Median Technologies' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Median Technologies currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Having said that, be aware Median Technologies is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Median Technologies is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.