Stock Analysis

Nacon (EPA:NACON) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

ENXTPA:NACON
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Nacon S.A. (EPA:NACON) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Nacon

What Is Nacon's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Nacon had €107.9m of debt, an increase on €101.7m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €19.3m, its net debt is less, at about €88.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:NACON Debt to Equity History January 24th 2024

A Look At Nacon's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nacon had liabilities of €117.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €104.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €19.3m in cash and €57.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €145.3m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of €155.2m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nacon's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Nacon made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to €146m, which is a fall of 8.8%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Nacon produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at €1.1m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through €31m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Nacon is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Nacon is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.