Stock Analysis

We Think Lucibel (EPA:ALUCI) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

ENXTPA:ALUCI
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Lucibel SA (EPA:ALUCI) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Lucibel

How Much Debt Does Lucibel Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 Lucibel had €3.79m of debt, an increase on €3.12m, over one year. However, it also had €1.09m in cash, and so its net debt is €2.70m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:ALUCI Debt to Equity History October 18th 2021

How Strong Is Lucibel's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Lucibel had liabilities of €1.55m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €7.92m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €1.09m and €2.23m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €6.16m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Lucibel is worth €13.2m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Lucibel will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Lucibel made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to €10m, which is a fall of 15%. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

While Lucibel's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable €2.4m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through €1.7m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Lucibel (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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