Stock Analysis

Imagine Owning Société Générale Société anonyme (EPA:GLE) And Wondering If The 29% Share Price Slide Is Justified

ENXTPA:GLE
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While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Société Générale Société anonyme (EPA:GLE) share price up 24% in a single quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. In fact, the share price is down 29% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

Check out our latest analysis for Société Générale Société anonyme

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the three years that the share price fell, Société Générale Société anonyme's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 12% each year. This change in EPS is reasonably close to the 11% average annual decrease in the share price. So it seems like sentiment towards the stock hasn't changed all that much over time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below.

ENXTPA:GLE Past and Future Earnings, December 2nd 2019
ENXTPA:GLE Past and Future Earnings, December 2nd 2019

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Société Générale Société anonyme's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Société Générale Société anonyme the TSR over the last 3 years was -13%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Investors in Société Générale Société anonyme had a tough year, with a total loss of 3.4% (including dividends) , against a market gain of about 21%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 0.8% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. Importantly, we haven't analysed Société Générale Société anonyme's dividend history. This free visual report on its dividends is a must-read if you're thinking of buying.

But note: Société Générale Société anonyme may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on FR exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.