Stock Analysis

Analysts Are Updating Their NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S (CPH:NTG) Estimates After Its First-Quarter Results

CPSE:NTG
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Shareholders might have noticed that NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S (CPH:NTG) filed its first-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 9.3% to kr.233 in the past week. The result was fairly weak overall, with revenues of kr.2.7b being 2.1% less than what the analysts had been modelling. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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CPSE:NTG Earnings and Revenue Growth May 15th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from NTG Nordic Transport Group's five analysts is for revenues of kr.11.3b in 2025. This reflects a decent 14% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 21% to kr.15.90. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of kr.11.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr.16.81 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the minor downgrade to their earnings per share numbers for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for NTG Nordic Transport Group

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at kr.372, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values NTG Nordic Transport Group at kr.400 per share, while the most bearish prices it at kr.335. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting NTG Nordic Transport Group is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting NTG Nordic Transport Group's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 20% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 12% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 2.7% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that NTG Nordic Transport Group is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

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The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at kr.372, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for NTG Nordic Transport Group going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for NTG Nordic Transport Group you should be aware of.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NTG Nordic Transport Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About CPSE:NTG

NTG Nordic Transport Group

Provides asset-light freight forwarding services through road, rail, air, and ocean in Denmark, Sweden, the United States, Germany, Finland, and internationally.

Good value with moderate growth potential.

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