NTG Nordic Transport Group Valuation
Is NTG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of NTG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: NTG (DKK249) is trading below our estimate of fair value (DKK776.08)
Significantly Below Fair Value: NTG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NTG?
Key metric: As NTG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is NTG's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 16.9x |
| Earnings | DKK 314.00m |
| Market Cap | DKK 5.44b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 11.5x |
| PEG Ratio | 1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does NTG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 8.7x | ||
DNORD Dampskibsselskabet Norden | 5.3x | n/a | DKK 6.8b |
SVITZR Svitzer Group | 10.7x | 4.6% | DKK 7.2b |
DFDS DFDS | 7.8x | 32.5% | DKK 7.7b |
9068 Maruzen Showa Unyu | 11x | 6.6% | JP¥118.1b |
NTG NTG Nordic Transport Group | 16.9x | 17.0% | DKK 5.4b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NTG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the peer average (8.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does NTG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?
| 2 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NTG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (13.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is NTG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 16.9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 18.8x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NTG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.8x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | DKK 249.00 | DKK 396.50 +59.2% | 3.1% | DKK 415.00 | DKK 385.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’25 | DKK 285.00 | DKK 396.50 +39.1% | 3.1% | DKK 415.00 | DKK 385.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’25 | DKK 283.00 | DKK 386.50 +36.6% | 4.6% | DKK 415.00 | DKK 366.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’25 | DKK 295.00 | DKK 377.75 +28.1% | 1.9% | DKK 385.00 | DKK 366.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’25 | DKK 274.00 | DKK 376.25 +37.3% | 2.6% | DKK 385.00 | DKK 360.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Aug ’25 | DKK 293.50 | DKK 360.40 +22.8% | 5.0% | DKK 380.00 | DKK 333.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’25 | DKK 309.00 | DKK 360.40 +16.6% | 5.0% | DKK 380.00 | DKK 333.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | DKK 293.00 | DKK 362.00 +23.5% | 5.0% | DKK 380.00 | DKK 333.00 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’25 | DKK 277.00 | DKK 356.40 +28.7% | 6.9% | DKK 380.00 | DKK 310.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | DKK 280.00 | DKK 362.40 +29.4% | 8.3% | DKK 400.00 | DKK 310.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Mar ’25 | DKK 266.50 | DKK 367.80 +38.0% | 7.6% | DKK 400.00 | DKK 320.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Feb ’25 | DKK 304.00 | DKK 370.80 +22.0% | 7.5% | DKK 400.00 | DKK 320.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’25 | DKK 294.00 | DKK 377.80 +28.5% | 16.9% | DKK 474.00 | DKK 275.00 | DKK 256.50 | 5 |
| Dec ’24 | DKK 282.00 | DKK 377.80 +34.0% | 16.9% | DKK 474.00 | DKK 275.00 | DKK 285.00 | 5 |
| Nov ’24 | DKK 249.00 | DKK 381.80 +53.3% | 17.5% | DKK 479.00 | DKK 275.00 | DKK 283.00 | 5 |
| Oct ’24 | DKK 363.50 | DKK 441.00 +21.3% | 8.1% | DKK 479.00 | DKK 390.00 | DKK 295.00 | 4 |
| Sep ’24 | DKK 371.50 | DKK 446.33 +20.1% | 9.0% | DKK 479.00 | DKK 390.00 | DKK 274.00 | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | DKK 415.00 | DKK 468.67 +12.9% | 6.0% | DKK 496.00 | DKK 430.00 | DKK 293.50 | 3 |
| Jul ’24 | DKK 431.50 | DKK 460.00 +6.6% | 4.7% | DKK 480.00 | DKK 430.00 | DKK 309.00 | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | DKK 438.00 | DKK 460.00 +5.0% | 4.7% | DKK 480.00 | DKK 430.00 | DKK 293.00 | 3 |
| May ’24 | DKK 359.50 | DKK 435.00 +21.0% | 8.0% | DKK 470.00 | DKK 400.00 | DKK 277.00 | 2 |
| Apr ’24 | DKK 407.50 | DKK 435.00 +6.7% | 8.0% | DKK 470.00 | DKK 400.00 | DKK 280.00 | 2 |
| Mar ’24 | DKK 317.50 | DKK 380.00 +19.7% | 15.8% | DKK 440.00 | DKK 320.00 | DKK 266.50 | 2 |
| Feb ’24 | DKK 289.50 | DKK 340.00 +17.4% | 23.5% | DKK 420.00 | DKK 260.00 | DKK 304.00 | 2 |
| Jan ’24 | DKK 238.50 | DKK 340.00 +42.6% | 23.5% | DKK 420.00 | DKK 260.00 | DKK 294.00 | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/01/07 18:22 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/01/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S is covered by 5 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Karl Vikström | Berenberg |
| null null | Danske Bank |
| Michael Vitfell-Rasmussen | Danske Bank |