DFDS Valuation

Is DFDS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DFDS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DFDS (DKK175) is trading below our estimate of fair value (DKK885.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DFDS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DFDS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DFDS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.6x
PEG Ratio0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DFDS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DFDS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
DNORD Dampskibsselskabet Norden
4.7xn/aDKK 8.0b
MAERSK B A.P. Møller - Mærsk
22.5x-29.0%DKK 158.2b
SVITZR Svitzer Group
12.4x5.8%DKK 8.2b
NTG NTG Nordic Transport Group
16.7x6.2%DKK 6.2b
DFDS DFDS
9x27.5%DKK 9.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DFDS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DFDS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-3.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-3.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DFDS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (7.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DFDS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DFDS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9x
Fair PE Ratio19.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DFDS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DFDS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentDKK 175.00
DKK 347.50
+98.6%
7.9%DKK 375.00DKK 320.00n/a2
Sep ’25DKK 184.20
DKK 342.50
+85.9%
6.6%DKK 365.00DKK 320.00n/a2
Aug ’25DKK 187.00
DKK 324.00
+73.3%
17.9%DKK 402.00DKK 239.00n/a4
Jul ’25DKK 204.60
DKK 348.00
+70.1%
12.5%DKK 402.00DKK 285.00n/a4
Jun ’25DKK 213.40
DKK 348.00
+63.1%
12.5%DKK 402.00DKK 285.00n/a4
May ’25DKK 212.80
DKK 349.25
+64.1%
13.0%DKK 402.00DKK 285.00n/a4
Apr ’25DKK 200.40
DKK 349.25
+74.3%
13.0%DKK 402.00DKK 285.00n/a4
Mar ’25DKK 207.20
DKK 349.25
+68.6%
13.0%DKK 402.00DKK 285.00n/a4
Feb ’25DKK 234.40
DKK 374.00
+59.6%
14.7%DKK 451.00DKK 315.00n/a4
Jan ’25DKK 223.00
DKK 364.50
+63.5%
14.6%DKK 433.00DKK 310.00n/a4
Dec ’24DKK 212.60
DKK 359.50
+69.1%
16.4%DKK 433.00DKK 290.00n/a4
Nov ’24DKK 203.80
DKK 385.00
+88.9%
14.3%DKK 450.00DKK 300.00n/a4
Oct ’24DKK 233.20
DKK 396.25
+69.9%
9.7%DKK 450.00DKK 345.00n/a4
Sep ’24DKK 228.00
DKK 396.25
+73.8%
9.7%DKK 450.00DKK 345.00DKK 184.204
Aug ’24DKK 243.80
DKK 385.00
+57.9%
8.3%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00DKK 187.004
Jul ’24DKK 248.40
DKK 385.00
+55.0%
8.3%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00DKK 204.604
Jun ’24DKK 259.00
DKK 393.33
+51.9%
8.4%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00DKK 213.403
May ’24DKK 273.00
DKK 393.33
+44.1%
8.4%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00DKK 212.803
Apr ’24DKK 277.80
DKK 393.33
+41.6%
8.4%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00DKK 200.403
Mar ’24DKK 286.80
DKK 393.33
+37.1%
8.4%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00DKK 207.203
Feb ’24DKK 262.60
DKK 391.67
+49.1%
8.9%DKK 435.00DKK 350.00DKK 234.403
Jan ’24DKK 256.40
DKK 396.67
+54.7%
7.3%DKK 435.00DKK 365.00DKK 223.003
Dec ’23DKK 255.40
DKK 396.67
+55.3%
7.3%DKK 435.00DKK 365.00DKK 212.603
Nov ’23DKK 228.80
DKK 408.33
+78.5%
9.6%DKK 460.00DKK 365.00DKK 203.803
Oct ’23DKK 197.90
DKK 408.33
+106.3%
9.6%DKK 460.00DKK 365.00DKK 233.203
Sep ’23DKK 248.40
DKK 408.33
+64.4%
9.6%DKK 460.00DKK 365.00DKK 228.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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