Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Netcompany Group A/S' (CPH:NETC) 25% Share Price Surge

CPSE:NETC
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Despite an already strong run, Netcompany Group A/S (CPH:NETC) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 2.0% over the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, Netcompany Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 45.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Denmark, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 13x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Netcompany Group could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Netcompany Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
CPSE:NETC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Netcompany Group.

How Is Netcompany Group's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Netcompany Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 50%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 6.6% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 45% per annum during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 13% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Netcompany Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Netcompany Group's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Netcompany Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Netcompany Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Netcompany Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Netcompany Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.