Bavarian Nordic (CPSE:BAVA) - Stock Price, News & Analysis

BAVA Stock Overview

Develops, manufactures, and commercializes life-saving vaccines.

BAVA fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	5/6
Future Growth	1/6
Past Performance	1/6
Financial Health	6/6
Dividends	0/6

Rewards

Trading at 80.9% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 9.69% per year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Risk Analysis

Profit margins (11.6%) are lower than last year (19.5%)

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the Danish market

Large one-off items impacting financial results

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Bavarian Nordic A/S Competitors

Genmab

CPSE:GMAB

DKK 99.3b

PeptiDream

TSE:4587

JP¥382.4b

Catalyst Pharmaceuticals

NasdaqCM:CPRX

US$2.5b

ALK-Abelló

CPSE:ALK B

DKK 38.2b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Bavarian Nordic
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	DKK 217.10
52 Week High	DKK 300.00
52 Week Low	DKK 125.55
Beta	1.54
11 Month Change	-10.66%
3 Month Change	17.35%
1 Year Change	65.92%
33 Year Change	-30.08%
5 Year Change	34.26%
Change since IPO	-14.86%

Recent updates

Market Participants Recognise Bavarian Nordic A/S' (CPH:BAVA) Earnings Pushing Shares 53% Higher

Aug 26

Bavarian Nordic A/S Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Aug 25

Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Aug 09

Bavarian Nordic A/S' (CPH:BAVA) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Jul 11

Results: Bavarian Nordic A/S Delivered A Surprise Loss And Now Analysts Have New Forecasts

May 12

Improved Revenues Required Before Bavarian Nordic A/S (CPH:BAVA) Shares Find Their Feet

Apr 09

Does Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Feb 26

Bavarian Nordic A/S' (CPH:BAVA) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Industry

Jan 03

Bavarian Nordic A/S (CPH:BAVA) Shares Could Be 45% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Dec 10

Here's Why Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Nov 15

Does Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Aug 17

Improved Revenues Required Before Bavarian Nordic A/S (CPH:BAVA) Shares Find Their Feet

Apr 19

Is Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Jan 03

Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Sep 15

Shareholder Returns

	BAVA	DK Biotechs	DK Market
7D	2.9%	0.3%	-0.9%
1Y	65.9%	6.8%	19.7%

Return vs Industry: BAVA exceeded the Danish Biotechs industry which returned 9.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: BAVA exceeded the Danish Market which returned 19.8% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is BAVA's price volatile compared to industry and market?
BAVA volatility
BAVA Average Weekly Movement	8.9%
Biotechs Industry Average Movement	7.9%
Market Average Movement	4.2%
10% most volatile stocks in DK Market	8.9%
10% least volatile stocks in DK Market	2.4%

Stable Share Price: BAVA's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the Danish market.

Volatility Over Time: BAVA's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of Danish stocks.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1992	1,381	Paul Chaplin	www.bavarian-nordic.com

Bavarian Nordic A/S develops, manufactures, and commercializes life-saving vaccines. The company offers non-replicating smallpox and monkeypox vaccines under the IMVAMUNE, IMVANEX, and JYNNEOS names; rabies vaccine for human use under the Rabipur/RabAvert name; tick-borne encephalitis vaccine under the Encepur name; and Ebola vaccine under the MVABEA name. It is also developing MVA-BN for the treatment of smallpox; MVA-BN RSV, which is in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of respiratory syncytial virus; ABNCoV2 that has completed Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2.

Bavarian Nordic A/S Fundamentals Summary

How do Bavarian Nordic's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
BAVA fundamental statistics
Market cap	DKK 17.05b
Earnings (TTM)	DKK 707.42m
Revenue (TTM)	DKK 6.08b

24.1x

P/E Ratio

2.8x

P/S Ratio

Is BAVA overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
BAVA income statement (TTM)
Revenue	DKK 6.08b
Cost of Revenue	DKK 2.06b
Gross Profit	DKK 4.02b
Other Expenses	DKK 3.31b
Earnings	DKK 707.42m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

Nov 15, 2024

Earnings per share (EPS)	9.01
Gross Margin	66.08%
Net Profit Margin	11.63%
Debt/Equity Ratio	0.2%

How did BAVA perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

BAVA Stock Overview

Rewards

Risk Analysis

Bavarian Nordic A/S Competitors

CPSE:GMAB

DKK 99.3b

TSE:4587

JP¥382.4b

NasdaqCM:CPRX

US$2.5b

CPSE:ALK B

DKK 38.2b

Price History & Performance

Recent News & Updates

Bavarian Nordic A/S Upgrades Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

Price target increased by 9.0% to kr.312

Bavarian Nordic A/S Receives EMA Approval of Mpox Vaccine for Adolescents

Bavarian Nordic Receives WHO Prequalification for Mpox Vaccine

CEO & President recently sold kr.24m worth of stock

CEO & President exercised options to buy kr.24m worth of stock.

Recent updates

Bavarian Nordic A/S Upgrades Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

Price target increased by 9.0% to kr.312

Bavarian Nordic A/S Receives EMA Approval of Mpox Vaccine for Adolescents

Bavarian Nordic Receives WHO Prequalification for Mpox Vaccine

CEO & President recently sold kr.24m worth of stock

CEO & President exercised options to buy kr.24m worth of stock.

Bavarian Nordic A/S Announces First Doses of its Mpox Vaccine, Mva-BN

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 56%

Bavarian Nordic A/S Receives Approval of Smallpox and Mpox Vaccine in Singapore

Market Participants Recognise Bavarian Nordic A/S' (CPH:BAVA) Earnings Pushing Shares 53% Higher

Bavarian Nordic A/S Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Price target increased by 8.7% to kr.286

Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectations

Bavarian Nordic A/S, Annual General Meeting, Apr 09, 2025

Bavarian Nordic A/S to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Mar 05, 2025

New major risk - Share price stability

Bavarian Nordic A/S Submits Data to EMA to Extend Mpox/Smallpox Vaccine Approval to Adolescents

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Bavarian Nordic A/S Receives Positive Chmp Opinion for Including Mpox Real-World Effectiveness Data in European Marketing Authorization for Smallpox and Mpox Vaccine

Bavarian Nordic A/S Receives EMA Filing Acceptance and Validation of the MAA for Its Chikungunya Vaccine

Bavarian Nordic A/S' (CPH:BAVA) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Bavarian Nordic A/S Submits Marketing Authorization Application for Its Chikungunya Vaccine Candidate to Ema

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Laurence De Moerlooze to Leave Bavarian Nordic A/S as Executive Vice President and Chief Medical Officer

Results: Bavarian Nordic A/S Delivered A Surprise Loss And Now Analysts Have New Forecasts

First quarter 2024 earnings released: kr.1.50 loss per share (vs kr.5.10 profit in 1Q 2023)

Bavarian Nordic A/S Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

Bavarian Nordic A/S Initiates Rolling Submission of Biologics License Application with FDA for Chikungunya Vaccine Candidate

Deputy Chairman exercised options to buy kr.123k worth of stock.

Improved Revenues Required Before Bavarian Nordic A/S (CPH:BAVA) Shares Find Their Feet

Bavarian Nordic A/S Receives Approval of Smallpox and Mpox Vaccine in Switzerland

CEO & President exercised options to buy kr.1.4m worth of stock.

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: kr.19.20 (vs kr.4.93 loss in FY 2022)

Does Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Bavarian Nordic A/S Provides Revenue Guidance for the Year 2024

Price target increased by 9.4% to kr.293

Bavarian Nordic A/S' (CPH:BAVA) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Industry

Bavarian Nordic A/S (CPH:BAVA) Shares Could Be 45% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: kr.4.40 loss per share (vs kr.0.20 profit in 3Q 2022)

Bavarian Nordic A/S Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2023

Here's Why Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Bavarian Nordic A/S's Mpox Vaccine Receives Recommendation from U.S. CDC Advisory Committee for Routine Use in Adults at Risk

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Bavarian Nordic A/S Reports Additional Phase 3 Results and Provides Update on Development Program for its cVLP-Based COVID-19 Booster Vaccine Candidate, ABNCoV2

Bavarian Nordic A/S, Annual General Meeting, Apr 16, 2024

Does Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

New minor risk - Share price stability

Bavarian Nordic A/S Provides Update on RSV Vaccine Program

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 26%

Bavarian Nordic A/S Reports Data from A Phase 3 Clinical Trial of Its Vlp-Based Chikungunya Virus Vaccine in Adults >=65 Years of Age Study Successfully Met Its Primary Endpoints

Bavarian Nordic A/S Reports 12-Month Durability Data from Phase 2 Clinical Trial of Covid-19 Vaccine Candidate

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 40%

Bavarian Nordic A/S acquired Travel health business of Emergent International Inc. and Emergent Travel Health Inc. for $384 million.

Bavarian Nordic A/S Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2023

Improved Revenues Required Before Bavarian Nordic A/S (CPH:BAVA) Shares Find Their Feet

Full year 2022 earnings released: kr.4.90 loss per share (vs kr.7.37 loss in FY 2021)

Bavarian Nordic A/S entered into an agreement to acquire Travel health business of Emergent International Inc. and Emergent Travel Health Inc. for $380 million.