There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, while the ROCE is currently high for Fielmann (ETR:FIE), we aren't jumping out of our chairs because returns are decreasing.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Fielmann:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.24 = €268m ÷ (€1.4b - €316m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, Fielmann has an ROCE of 24%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 9.8% earned by companies in a similar industry.
See our latest analysis for Fielmann
In the above chart we have measured Fielmann's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Fielmann.
What Can We Tell From Fielmann's ROCE Trend?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Fielmann doesn't inspire confidence. Historically returns on capital were even higher at 37%, but they have dropped over the last five years. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
The Bottom Line
To conclude, we've found that Fielmann is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 21% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
Fielmann does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Fielmann that you might be interested in.
High returns are a key ingredient to strong performance, so check out our free list ofstocks earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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About XTRA:FIE
Fielmann Group
Provides optical and hearing aid services in Germany, Switzerland, Austria, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.