Stock Analysis

Aurubis (ETR:NDA) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

XTRA:NDA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Aurubis AG (ETR:NDA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Aurubis

What Is Aurubis's Debt?

As you can see below, Aurubis had €249.0m of debt at December 2022, down from €367.0m a year prior. But it also has €540.0m in cash to offset that, meaning it has €291.0m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:NDA Debt to Equity History March 31st 2023

How Strong Is Aurubis' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Aurubis had liabilities of €2.24b due within 12 months and liabilities of €957.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €540.0m in cash and €902.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.75b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Aurubis has a market capitalization of €3.72b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Aurubis boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In fact Aurubis's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 48% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Aurubis's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Aurubis may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Aurubis recorded free cash flow of 36% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

Although Aurubis's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €291.0m. So while Aurubis does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Aurubis (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.