Aurubis AG

XTRA:NDA Stock Report

Market Cap: €8.0b

Aurubis Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Aurubis's earnings are forecast to decline at 11.1% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 7.1% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 12.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.7% in 3 years.

Key information

-11.1%

Earnings growth rate

-12.18%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth19.0%
Revenue growth rate7.1%
Future return on equity7.75%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated30 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

NDA: Rising Execution Risks Will Cap Benefits Of Upgraded Earnings Guidance

Aurubis' analyst fair value estimate has moved from about €95.43 to €160.50, as analysts factor in updated price targets from Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley, alongside mixed rating changes that reflect differing views on the company’s growth, profitability, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Aurubis points to a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets and ratings while others turn more cautious.

NDA: Higher Earnings Guidance Will Likely Clash With Rising Execution Risks

Aurubis’ analyst price target has been updated to €99.00. The change is supported by recent target increases from multiple firms and by analyst expectations reflected in adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.

NDA: Higher Earnings Guidance And Execution Risks Will Likely Restrain Future Returns

Narrative Update on Aurubis The updated analyst price target for Aurubis has moved to €99.00, with analysts pointing to revised revenue growth assumptions and slightly adjusted discount rate and future P/E inputs as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Aurubis has centered on valuation assumptions and the sustainability of the earnings profile that underpins price targets around €99.00.

NDA: Higher Discount Rate Sensitivity Will Likely Restrain Future Share Returns

Narrative Update The analyst fair value estimate for Aurubis has shifted from €78.00 to €99.00. Analysts attribute this change to updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, supported by recent price target increases from major firms.

NDA: Rising Earnings Power And Higher Dividend Will Support Re-Rating

Aurubis' analyst fair value estimate has shifted from €120.00 to €200.00. Analysts cite recent target price increases from major banks, alongside updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations.

NDA: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Likely Restrain Share Price

Analysts have lifted their price targets on Aurubis by between €13 and €28, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, growth and margins, as well as a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Aurubis highlights that the higher price targets are closely linked to updated modelling on discount rates, expected growth and margin assumptions, and a willingness to apply a higher future P/E multiple.

NDA: Execution Risks And Lower P/E Assumptions Will Likely Restrain Share Price

Analysts have raised their price target on Aurubis by €28, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious tone from some bearish analysts, even alongside the higher price target.

There's No Escaping Aurubis AG's (ETR:NDA) Muted Earnings Despite A 25% Share Price Rise

Jan 16
There's No Escaping Aurubis AG's (ETR:NDA) Muted Earnings Despite A 25% Share Price Rise

NDA: Higher Dividend And Copper Offtake Agreement Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Aurubis from €110 to €120, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E of 13.27x versus the prior 18.58x. What's in the News Aurubis AG plans to propose a dividend of €1.60 per share for fiscal 2024/25, compared with €1.50 per share previously.

Is Aurubis AG (ETR:NDA) Trading At A 34% Discount?

Jan 05
Is Aurubis AG (ETR:NDA) Trading At A 34% Discount?

NDA Risks Around Major Investment Projects Will Likely Cap Share Price Upside

Narrative Update on Aurubis The analyst price target for Aurubis has been raised from EUR 60 to EUR 78. This reflects analysts' expectations for stronger revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a more attractive future valuation multiple.

NDA: Rising Project Execution Risks Will Pressure Margins Despite Recent Optimism

Analysts have nudged their price target on Aurubis higher to about EUR 95.43 from EUR 94.29, citing a slightly richer fair value and marginally higher long term valuation multiples reflected in recent Street research target increases and rating adjustments. Analyst Commentary Recent valuation changes reflect a more constructive stance on Aurubis near term, even as expectations moderate from previously more optimistic levels.

NDA: Rising Discount Rate Will Weigh On Margins Amid Uncertainties

Aurubis' analyst price target has been raised slightly from €93.29 to €94.29. This adjustment reflects analysts' expectations of modest improvements in revenue growth and profit margins, despite a minor increase in the discount rate.

NDA Margins Will Face Pressure As Cost Conditions Tighten

The consensus analyst price target for Aurubis has increased, reflecting a EUR 8 rise over the previous figure. Analysts point to the company's updated revenue outlook and a slightly higher expected discount rate as key factors in their recalibrated valuations.

Does Aurubis (ETR:NDA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Nov 03
Does Aurubis (ETR:NDA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Analysts Raise Aurubis Price Target as Outlook Improves Amid Strategic Growth Initiatives

Aurubis' analyst price target has been raised from €78.29 to €93.29. Analysts cite improved revenue growth forecasts and updated sector outlooks, supporting higher fair value estimates.

High Operating Costs And Industry Shifts Will Depress Copper Value

The analyst price target for Aurubis has decreased from €81.88 to €78.29. Analysts cite modest downward adjustments to profitability and fair value estimates, despite select upward revisions from recent sector research.

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Aurubis (ETR:NDA)

Oct 03
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Aurubis (ETR:NDA)

High Operating Costs And Industry Shifts Will Depress Copper Value

Analysts have modestly raised Aurubis’s price target to €81.88, citing improved sector sentiment and higher metal price assumptions, but maintain cautious stances due to ongoing uncertainties and limited near-term catalysts. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improved sector sentiment within European Metals & Mining for raising targets modestly.

Aurubis (ETR:NDA) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jul 16
Aurubis (ETR:NDA) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Aurubis AG (ETR:NDA) Just Released Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

May 11
Aurubis AG (ETR:NDA) Just Released Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
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Shrinking TC/RCs And Rising Costs Threaten Profitability Despite Copper Demand

Strategic investments and project ramp-up costs may reduce margins and earnings, impacting return on capital employed.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

XTRA:NDA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
9/30/202825,0354943997855
9/30/202724,0814103577097
9/30/202623,027509-366936
12/31/202519,295605-234491N/A
9/30/202518,226539-81677N/A
6/30/202518,031616-12842N/A
3/31/202518,120695-148722N/A
12/31/202417,50561481917N/A
9/30/202417,183416-310537N/A
6/30/202417,100374-253552N/A
3/31/202416,576159-202558N/A
12/31/202316,910142-272433N/A
9/30/202317,109141-52573N/A
6/30/202317,236190-142357N/A
3/31/202318,075326-149260N/A
12/31/202218,240471-46318N/A
9/30/202218,548715-52295N/A
6/30/202218,423717157491N/A
3/31/202218,068804456741N/A
12/31/202117,2707417301,000N/A
9/30/202116,332613560812N/A
6/30/202115,967583419625N/A
3/31/202113,960572420609N/A
12/31/202013,20436273279N/A
9/30/202012,451265229459N/A
6/30/202012,791258438678N/A
3/31/202012,852102328581N/A
12/31/201912,289260251486N/A
9/30/201911,917193N/A272N/A
6/30/201910,461125N/A62N/A
3/31/201910,366207N/A101N/A
12/31/201810,189149N/A141N/A
9/30/201810,443261N/A203N/A
6/30/201810,353298N/A188N/A
3/31/201810,169282N/A205N/A
12/31/201710,022360N/A275N/A
9/30/20179,888317N/A480N/A
6/30/20179,735308N/A386N/A
3/31/20179,641285N/A440N/A
12/31/20169,549225N/A220N/A
9/30/20169,483122N/A239N/A
6/30/20169,61222N/A62N/A
3/31/201610,20831N/A97N/A
12/31/201510,76683N/A240N/A
9/30/201511,002132N/A365N/A
6/30/201511,417210N/A531N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NDA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-11.1% per year).

Earnings vs Market: NDA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-11.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NDA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: NDA's revenue (7.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (6.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NDA's revenue (7.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NDA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/30 06:34
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Aurubis AG is covered by 20 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christian ObstBaader Helvea Equity Research
Charlie ClarkBerenberg
Alan SpenceBNP Paribas