Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.

DB:PPY Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.6b

Prosperity Bancshares Valuation

Is PPY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PPY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PPY (€58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€117.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PPY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PPY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PPY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PPY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PPY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.2x
CBK Commerzbank
8x7.6%€16.3b
9889 Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank
8.5xn/aHK$47.2b
ZION Zions Bancorporation National Association
11x9.0%US$6.3b
BOKF BOK Financial
13.3x7.8%US$6.0b
PPY Prosperity Bancshares
14.9x15.5%€6.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PPY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PPY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PPY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PPY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PPY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.9x
Fair PE Ratio9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PPY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PPY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€58.00
€67.84
+17.0%
5.2%€74.62€61.56n/a15
Apr ’25€60.00
€66.74
+11.2%
6.9%€73.90€55.42n/a16
Mar ’25€57.50
€68.06
+18.4%
6.5%€74.26€55.70n/a16
Feb ’25€59.00
€67.06
+13.7%
8.4%€73.81€52.59n/a16
Jan ’25€62.00
€62.06
+0.1%
9.7%€71.54€51.62n/a16
Dec ’24€55.00
€59.51
+8.2%
6.5%€64.37€52.41n/a16
Nov ’24€51.50
€59.33
+15.2%
8.1%€66.30€52.10n/a15
Oct ’24€50.50
€61.83
+22.4%
8.2%€70.06€53.02n/a15
Sep ’24€52.00
€61.39
+18.1%
6.9%€67.38€51.90n/a14
Aug ’24€57.50
€61.39
+6.8%
6.9%€67.38€51.90n/a14
Jul ’24€52.50
€61.99
+18.1%
6.2%€67.81€54.98n/a14
Jun ’24€53.50
€63.55
+18.8%
6.4%€70.00€55.26n/a14
May ’24€56.50
€62.08
+9.9%
7.4%€68.95€52.62€58.0014
Apr ’24€56.50
€69.47
+23.0%
9.5%€78.36€57.16€60.0014
Mar ’24€69.00
€74.32
+7.7%
6.8%€79.82€64.80€57.5014
Feb ’24€69.50
€72.05
+3.7%
6.7%€78.06€63.36€59.0013
Jan ’24€68.00
€73.04
+7.4%
6.6%€80.93€64.94€62.0013
Dec ’23€72.00
€74.42
+3.4%
4.9%€78.85€65.55€55.0012
Nov ’23€72.00
€78.87
+9.5%
6.3%€84.01€64.78€51.5012
Oct ’23€68.00
€79.61
+17.1%
7.6%€87.31€64.71€50.5012
Sep ’23€70.50
€76.45
+8.4%
7.4%€83.67€62.01€52.0012
Aug ’23€72.00
€75.63
+5.0%
6.9%€81.26€61.68€57.5012
Jul ’23€65.00
€71.75
+10.4%
7.7%€82.09€60.13€52.5012
Jun ’23€67.50
€70.57
+4.5%
7.1%€80.20€58.75€53.5012
May ’23€64.50
€72.46
+12.3%
5.7%€81.55€65.43€56.5012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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