Commerzbank Valuation

Is CBK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CBK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CBK (€12.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€42.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CBK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CBK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CBK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CBK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CBK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.8x
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.5x10.1%€511.2m
UBK UmweltBank
11.7xn/a€229.0m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
8.8x4.1%€113.6m
ELEKTRA * Grupo Elektra. de
42.4xn/aMex$255.2b
CBK Commerzbank
7.5x7.5%€15.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (16.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CBK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CBK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CBK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.5x
Fair PE Ratio8.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CBK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.90
€14.35
+11.2%
20.2%€17.60€5.50n/a17
Apr ’25€12.73
€14.19
+11.5%
20.3%€17.60€5.50n/a17
Mar ’25€10.86
€14.15
+30.3%
19.5%€17.00€5.50n/a18
Feb ’25€10.57
€14.17
+34.1%
19.6%€17.00€5.50n/a18
Jan ’25€10.76
€14.05
+30.6%
19.6%€17.00€5.50n/a18
Dec ’24€11.35
€14.04
+23.7%
19.3%€17.00€5.50n/a18
Nov ’24€10.31
€13.72
+33.0%
19.3%€17.00€5.50n/a18
Oct ’24€10.79
€13.52
+25.3%
19.2%€17.00€5.50n/a18
Sep ’24€10.10
€13.51
+33.8%
19.4%€17.00€5.50n/a18
Aug ’24€10.85
€13.20
+21.7%
19.7%€17.00€5.50n/a18
Jul ’24€10.15
€12.92
+27.3%
19.4%€16.30€5.50n/a18
Jun ’24€9.46
€12.88
+36.2%
19.5%€16.30€5.50n/a18
May ’24€10.07
€12.64
+25.5%
19.9%€16.00€5.50n/a18
Apr ’24€9.70
€12.26
+26.3%
19.2%€15.60€5.50€12.7318
Mar ’24€11.27
€11.86
+5.3%
20.2%€15.60€5.50€10.8618
Feb ’24€10.54
€10.62
+0.8%
18.7%€13.90€5.50€10.5718
Jan ’24€8.84
€10.14
+14.8%
13.1%€13.00€8.20€10.7617
Dec ’23€7.72
€9.94
+28.8%
14.5%€13.00€7.50€11.3517
Nov ’23€8.25
€9.47
+14.8%
16.9%€13.00€7.00€10.3117
Oct ’23€7.34
€9.25
+26.0%
19.1%€13.00€6.00€10.7917
Sep ’23€6.56
€9.07
+38.4%
21.5%€12.40€5.49€10.1018
Aug ’23€6.72
€8.80
+30.9%
21.5%€12.00€5.49€10.8516
Jul ’23€6.38
€9.13
+43.1%
20.1%€12.00€5.49€10.1516
Jun ’23€8.03
€8.56
+6.6%
19.6%€11.50€5.49€9.4618
May ’23€6.28
€8.31
+32.3%
19.5%€11.50€5.49€10.0719
Apr ’23€7.18
€8.57
+19.4%
21.2%€11.70€5.49€9.7018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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