We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Popular Valuation

Is BPOP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BPOP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BPOP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio-0.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BPOP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BPOP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.9x
HOMB Home Bancshares (Conway AR)
16.7x14.0%US$5.1b
GBCI Glacier Bancorp
17.6x2.7%US$5.3b
OZK Bank OZK
10.3x10.5%US$5.7b
UBSI United Bankshares
15x1.9%US$5.7b
BPOP Popular
4.6x-25.0%US$5.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BPOP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (14.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BPOP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.8%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BPOP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the US Banks industry average (9.8x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BPOP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BPOP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.6x
Fair PE Ratio6.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BPOP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BPOP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BPOP ($70.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($181.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BPOP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BPOP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$70.80
US$79.60
+12.4%
9.4%US$94.00US$74.00n/a5
Jan ’24US$66.32
US$88.83
+33.9%
11.4%US$103.00US$75.00n/a6
Dec ’23US$71.28
US$89.67
+25.8%
10.1%US$103.00US$80.00n/a6
Nov ’23US$71.37
US$91.33
+28.0%
12.5%US$110.00US$80.00n/a6
Oct ’23US$72.06
US$100.75
+39.8%
6.4%US$110.00US$91.00n/a6
Sep ’23US$76.56
US$100.75
+31.6%
6.4%US$110.00US$91.00n/a6
Aug ’23US$77.81
US$102.75
+32.1%
9.7%US$122.00US$91.00n/a6
Jul ’23US$78.45
US$107.00
+36.4%
9.4%US$122.00US$91.00n/a6
Jun ’23US$80.87
US$110.33
+36.4%
9.5%US$122.00US$91.00n/a6
May ’23US$77.99
US$108.00
+38.5%
10.4%US$122.00US$91.00n/a7
Apr ’23US$80.95
US$110.75
+36.8%
9.3%US$122.00US$91.00n/a6
Mar ’23US$87.04
US$112.08
+28.8%
10.6%US$129.00US$91.00n/a6
Feb ’23US$92.22
US$112.08
+21.5%
10.6%US$129.00US$91.00US$68.926
Jan ’23US$82.04
US$102.83
+25.3%
8.2%US$115.00US$91.00US$66.326
Dec ’22US$77.20
US$102.00
+32.1%
8.8%US$115.00US$91.00US$71.285
Nov ’22US$82.75
US$98.75
+19.3%
7.0%US$109.00US$91.00US$71.374
Oct ’22US$78.59
US$91.50
+16.4%
8.5%US$103.00US$83.00US$72.064
Sep ’22US$74.94
US$86.25
+15.1%
2.5%US$89.00US$83.00US$76.564
Aug ’22US$72.76
US$88.25
+21.3%
6.0%US$97.00US$83.00US$77.814
Jul ’22US$76.28
US$87.25
+14.4%
4.2%US$93.00US$83.00US$78.454
Jun ’22US$81.90
US$87.25
+6.5%
6.6%US$97.00US$83.00US$80.874
May ’22US$73.96
US$83.40
+12.8%
2.5%US$86.00US$80.00US$77.995
Apr ’22US$71.52
US$74.60
+4.3%
9.9%US$85.00US$67.00US$80.955
Mar ’22US$69.08
US$72.00
+4.2%
6.1%US$79.00US$67.00US$87.045
Feb ’22US$58.99
US$72.00
+22.1%
6.1%US$79.00US$67.00US$92.225

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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