Stock Analysis

CZG - Ceská zbrojovka Group SE (SEP:CZG) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

SEP:CZG
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There wouldn't be many who think CZG - Ceská zbrojovka Group SE's (SEP:CZG) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.4x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Czech Republic is similar at about 13x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

The recent earnings growth at CZG - Ceská zbrojovka Group would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for CZG - Ceská zbrojovka Group

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SEP:CZG Price Based on Past Earnings December 15th 2020
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on CZG - Ceská zbrojovka Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Growth For CZG - Ceská zbrojovka Group?

CZG - Ceská zbrojovka Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.2%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 36% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 0.3% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that CZG - Ceská zbrojovka Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that CZG - Ceská zbrojovka Group currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for CZG - Ceská zbrojovka Group you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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