Stock Analysis

Shanghai International Airport Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600009) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

SHSE:600009
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Infrastructure industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.7x, Shanghai International Airport Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600009) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 7.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai International Airport

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600009 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 1st 2024

How Shanghai International Airport Has Been Performing

Shanghai International Airport certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shanghai International Airport.

How Is Shanghai International Airport's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shanghai International Airport's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 105% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 237% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Shanghai International Airport's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Given Shanghai International Airport's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Shanghai International Airport with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.