Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Limited's (SZSE:002729) Massive 39% Price Jump

SZSE:002729
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Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Limited (SZSE:002729) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 39% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 19% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002729 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

What Does Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 49% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 26% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.