Stock Analysis

Would Fujian Forecam Optics (SHSE:688010) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Fujian Forecam Optics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688010) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Fujian Forecam Optics

How Much Debt Does Fujian Forecam Optics Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Fujian Forecam Optics had debt of CN¥684.1m, up from CN¥595.1m in one year. However, it also had CN¥414.4m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥269.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688010 Debt to Equity History January 7th 2025

How Healthy Is Fujian Forecam Optics' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Fujian Forecam Optics had liabilities of CN¥675.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥235.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥414.4m in cash and CN¥369.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥127.3m.

Given Fujian Forecam Optics has a market capitalization of CN¥4.04b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Fujian Forecam Optics will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Fujian Forecam Optics had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 13%, to CN¥606m. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Fujian Forecam Optics's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥75m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥66m into a profit. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Fujian Forecam Optics has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SHSE:688010

Fujian Forecam Optics

Researches, manufactures, and sells special and civilian optical lenses in the People's Republic of China.

Mediocre balance sheet with minimal risk.

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