Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Founder Technology Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600601) Massive 36% Price Jump

SHSE:600601
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Founder Technology Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600601) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 22% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Founder Technology GroupLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.7x, considering almost half the companies in China's Tech industry have P/S ratios below 3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Founder Technology GroupLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600601 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

How Has Founder Technology GroupLtd Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Founder Technology GroupLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Founder Technology GroupLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Founder Technology GroupLtd?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Founder Technology GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 44% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Founder Technology GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Founder Technology GroupLtd's P/S?

The large bounce in Founder Technology GroupLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Founder Technology GroupLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Founder Technology GroupLtd with six simple checks.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.