Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Glodon Company Limited's (SZSE:002410) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 29%

SZSE:002410
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Glodon Company Limited (SZSE:002410) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 80% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Glodon may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 4.5x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Glodon

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002410 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2024

How Glodon Has Been Performing

Glodon could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Glodon will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Glodon?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Glodon's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 66% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 11% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 23% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Glodon's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Glodon's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As expected, our analysis of Glodon's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Glodon (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Glodon is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.