China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited

SHSE:601888 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥141.7b

China Tourism Group Duty Free Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

China Tourism Group Duty Free is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 14.1% and 10.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.3% in 3 years.

Key information

14.1%

Earnings growth rate

14.2%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth23.2%
Revenue growth rate10.9%
Future return on equity12.3%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Following Its Earnings Miss

Sep 02
Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Following Its Earnings Miss

Recent updates

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About China Tourism Group Duty Free's (SHSE:601888) Returns On Capital

Nov 14
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About China Tourism Group Duty Free's (SHSE:601888) Returns On Capital

Is It Time To Consider Buying China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888)?

Oct 21
Is It Time To Consider Buying China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888)?

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Stock Catapults 36% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

Oct 07
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Stock Catapults 36% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

These 4 Measures Indicate That China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Is Using Debt Safely

Sep 30
These 4 Measures Indicate That China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Is Using Debt Safely

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Following Its Earnings Miss

Sep 02
Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Following Its Earnings Miss

Is There An Opportunity With China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601888) 45% Undervaluation?

Aug 27
Is There An Opportunity With China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601888) 45% Undervaluation?

There's No Escaping China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601888) Muted Earnings

Aug 13
There's No Escaping China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601888) Muted Earnings

Capital Allocation Trends At China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Aren't Ideal

Jul 31
Capital Allocation Trends At China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Aren't Ideal

Time To Worry? Analysts Just Downgraded Their China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Outlook

Jul 17
Time To Worry? Analysts Just Downgraded Their China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Outlook

At CN¥73.41, Is It Time To Put China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) On Your Watch List?

Jun 05
At CN¥73.41, Is It Time To Put China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) On Your Watch List?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888)

May 22
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888)

Earnings Working Against China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601888) Share Price

May 09
Earnings Working Against China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601888) Share Price

China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There

Apr 08
China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There

Is There Now An Opportunity In China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888)?

Feb 28
Is There Now An Opportunity In China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888)?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSE:601888 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202678,1487,7627,4629,96228
12/31/202569,5376,6546,8118,90729
12/31/202461,4095,6725,24211,47029
9/30/202459,7245,4275,3876,787N/A
6/30/202462,9476,1319,18810,862N/A
3/31/202465,5786,71911,13513,004N/A
12/31/202367,5406,71413,32515,126N/A
9/30/202365,9055,60911,81314,035N/A
6/30/202362,6414,9586,0208,594N/A
3/31/202358,4204,7682,4205,243N/A
12/31/202254,4335,030-6,411-3,415N/A
9/30/202257,5415,793-2,0951,199N/A
6/30/202259,8008,2351,2484,142N/A
3/31/202266,3249,3694,5407,017N/A
12/31/202167,6769,6546,1748,329N/A
9/30/202166,95811,4653,2314,673N/A
6/30/202168,47910,4683,4664,779N/A
3/31/202162,7609,0107,8799,159N/A
12/31/202052,5986,1406,9678,201N/A
9/30/202047,5973,5814,8976,007N/A
6/30/202043,4942,3693,6034,606N/A
3/31/202042,8922,304-2,325-1,409N/A
12/31/201948,6124,6321,6053,121N/A
9/30/201949,0604,6047433,086N/A
6/30/201950,6864,4678513,200N/A
3/31/201951,8504,2411,9444,237N/A
12/31/201847,0073,0951,1412,722N/A
9/30/201841,6393,3283,4824,053N/A
6/30/201836,7993,150N/A3,667N/A
3/31/201831,3502,972N/A4,869N/A
12/31/201728,2822,531N/A3,017N/A
9/30/201726,6892,255N/A2,995N/A
6/30/201724,6952,002N/A2,570N/A
3/31/201722,9411,830N/A1,311N/A
12/31/201622,3901,808N/A1,937N/A
9/30/201621,9421,648N/A1,752N/A
6/30/201621,5391,596N/A1,942N/A
3/31/201621,5261,557N/A1,783N/A
12/31/201521,2921,506N/A1,571N/A
9/30/201521,1941,596N/A1,651N/A
6/30/201521,0021,636N/A1,677N/A
3/31/201520,5281,584N/A1,651N/A
12/31/201419,9361,470N/A1,496N/A
9/30/201419,3361,362N/A1,326N/A
6/30/201418,5521,341N/A1,140N/A
3/31/201417,9131,331N/A1,358N/A
12/31/201317,4481,295N/A1,470N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 601888's forecast earnings growth (14.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: 601888's earnings (14.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the CN market (25.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 601888's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 601888's revenue (10.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the CN market (13.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 601888's revenue (10.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 601888's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 08:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/25 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited is covered by 72 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ka Ho LiBOCI Research Ltd.
Ronald LeungBofA Global Research
Yunqiao DuCCB International Securities Limited