China Tourism Group Duty Free Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
China Tourism Group Duty Free is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.7% and 8.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10% in 3 years.
Key information
12.7%
Earnings growth rate
12.8%
EPS growth rate
| Specialty Retail earnings growth | 17.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 8.7% |
| Future return on equity | 10.0% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 17 Apr 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Apr 01
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Jan 19Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Following Its Earnings Miss
Sep 02Recent updates
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Apr 01China Tourism Group Duty Free's (SHSE:601888) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Feb 21Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601888) Earnings
Feb 06China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Jan 19China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Jan 06There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About China Tourism Group Duty Free's (SHSE:601888) Returns On Capital
Nov 14Is It Time To Consider Buying China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888)?
Oct 21China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Stock Catapults 36% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market
Oct 07These 4 Measures Indicate That China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Is Using Debt Safely
Sep 30Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Following Its Earnings Miss
Sep 02Is There An Opportunity With China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601888) 45% Undervaluation?
Aug 27There's No Escaping China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601888) Muted Earnings
Aug 13Capital Allocation Trends At China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Aren't Ideal
Jul 31Time To Worry? Analysts Just Downgraded Their China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) Outlook
Jul 17At CN¥73.41, Is It Time To Put China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) On Your Watch List?
Jun 05Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888)
May 22Earnings Working Against China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601888) Share Price
May 09Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 74,330 | 6,531 | 5,467 | 6,871 | 21 |
| 12/31/2026 | 69,511 | 6,029 | 4,987 | 8,267 | 27 |
| 12/31/2025 | 61,932 | 5,000 | 4,436 | 7,134 | 26 |
| 12/31/2024 | 56,474 | 4,267 | 6,820 | 7,939 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 59,724 | 5,427 | 5,387 | 6,787 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 62,947 | 6,131 | 9,188 | 10,862 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 65,578 | 6,719 | 11,135 | 13,004 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 67,540 | 6,714 | 13,325 | 15,126 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 65,905 | 5,609 | 11,813 | 14,035 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 62,641 | 4,958 | 6,020 | 8,594 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 58,420 | 4,768 | 2,420 | 5,243 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 54,433 | 5,030 | -6,411 | -3,415 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 57,541 | 5,793 | -2,095 | 1,199 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 59,800 | 8,235 | 1,248 | 4,142 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 66,324 | 9,369 | 4,540 | 7,017 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 67,676 | 9,654 | 6,174 | 8,329 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 66,958 | 11,465 | 3,231 | 4,673 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 68,479 | 10,468 | 3,466 | 4,779 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 62,760 | 9,010 | 7,879 | 9,159 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 52,598 | 6,140 | 6,967 | 8,201 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 47,597 | 3,581 | 4,897 | 6,007 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 43,494 | 2,369 | 3,603 | 4,606 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 42,892 | 2,304 | -2,325 | -1,409 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 48,612 | 4,632 | 1,605 | 3,121 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 49,060 | 4,604 | 743 | 3,086 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 50,686 | 4,467 | 851 | 3,200 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 51,850 | 4,241 | 1,944 | 4,237 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 47,007 | 3,095 | 1,141 | 2,722 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 41,639 | 3,328 | N/A | 4,053 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 36,799 | 3,150 | N/A | 3,667 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 31,350 | 2,972 | N/A | 4,869 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 28,282 | 2,531 | N/A | 3,017 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 26,689 | 2,255 | N/A | 2,995 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 24,695 | 2,002 | N/A | 2,570 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 22,941 | 1,830 | N/A | 1,311 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 22,390 | 1,808 | N/A | 1,937 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 21,942 | 1,648 | N/A | 1,752 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 21,539 | 1,596 | N/A | 1,942 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 21,526 | 1,557 | N/A | 1,783 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 21,292 | 1,506 | N/A | 1,571 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 21,194 | 1,596 | N/A | 1,651 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 21,002 | 1,636 | N/A | 1,677 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 20,528 | 1,584 | N/A | 1,651 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 19,936 | 1,470 | N/A | 1,496 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 19,336 | 1,362 | N/A | 1,326 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 18,552 | 1,341 | N/A | 1,140 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 601888's forecast earnings growth (12.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.7%).
Earnings vs Market: 601888's earnings (12.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the CN market (23.7% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 601888's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: 601888's revenue (8.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the CN market (12.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 601888's revenue (8.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 601888's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/04/18 15:12 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/04/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited is covered by 61 analysts. 27 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ka Ho Li | BOCI Research Ltd. |
| Ronald Leung | BofA Global Research |
| Yunqiao Du | CCB International Securities Limited |