Stock Analysis

Does China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group (SHSE:601512) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601512) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group

How Much Debt Does China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group had CN¥9.22b of debt, up from CN¥8.84b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥2.89b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥6.33b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601512 Debt to Equity History February 6th 2025

How Healthy Is China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group had liabilities of CN¥7.82b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥7.90b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.89b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.69b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥10.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥11.4b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group's net debt is 4.0 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 1k times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Shareholders should be aware that China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group's EBIT was down 39% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group created free cash flow amounting to 15% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SHSE:601512

China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group

China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group Co., Ltd.

Adequate balance sheet and fair value.

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