There May Be Reason For Hope In Yunnan Yuntianhua's (SHSE:600096) Disappointing Earnings
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600096) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.
Check out our latest analysis for Yunnan Yuntianhua
Examining Cashflow Against Yunnan Yuntianhua's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Over the twelve months to March 2024, Yunnan Yuntianhua recorded an accrual ratio of -0.13. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥8.7b, well over the CN¥4.41b it reported in profit. Yunnan Yuntianhua shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Yunnan Yuntianhua's Profit Performance
Yunnan Yuntianhua's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Yunnan Yuntianhua's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Yunnan Yuntianhua has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Yunnan Yuntianhua's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600096
Yunnan Yuntianhua
Engages in the phosphate ore mining, chemical fertilizers, engineering materials, agriculture, and trade and logistics businesses in China.
Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.