Stock Analysis

Hunan Yujing MachineryLtd's (SZSE:002943) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

SZSE:002943
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The market for Hunan Yujing Machinery Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002943) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week. Despite this, our analysis suggests that there are some factors weakening the foundations of those good profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Hunan Yujing MachineryLtd

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002943 Earnings and Revenue History May 1st 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Hunan Yujing MachineryLtd's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Hunan Yujing MachineryLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.35 for the year to March 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥125.5m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥397m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥397m, this year, indicates high risk.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Hunan Yujing MachineryLtd's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Hunan Yujing MachineryLtd didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Hunan Yujing MachineryLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 13% in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Hunan Yujing MachineryLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Hunan Yujing MachineryLtd.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hunan Yujing MachineryLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Hunan Yujing MachineryLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.